Who underreacts to cash-flow news? evidence from trading between individuals and institutions

被引:225
作者
Cohen, RB
Gompers, PA
Vuolteenaho, T [1 ]
机构
[1] Harvard Univ, Dept Econ, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[2] Harvard Univ, Sch Business, Boston, MA 02163 USA
[3] Natl Bur Econ Res, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
关键词
overreaction; expected-return news; expected returns; investor heterogeneity;
D O I
10.1016/S0304-405X(02)00229-5
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
A large body of literature suggests that firm-level stock prices "underreact" to news about future cash flows; i.e., shocks to a firm's expected cash flows are positively correlated with shocks to expected returns on its stock. We examine the joint behavior of returns, cash-flow news, and trading between individuals and institutions. Institutions buy shares from (sell shares to) individuals in response to positive (negative) cash-flow news, thus exploiting the underreaction phenomenon. Institutions are not simply following price momentum strategies: When price goes up (down) in the absence of any cash-flow news, institutions sell shares to (buy shares from) individuals. Although institutions are trading in the "right" direction, institutions as a group outperform individuals by only 1.44% per annum before transaction and other costs, because they are extremely conservative in deviating from the value-weighted market index. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:409 / 462
页数:54
相关论文
共 55 条
[1]  
ANG A, 2001, UNPUB DOWNSIDE RISK
[2]  
[Anonymous], EC J
[3]   A model of investor sentiment [J].
Barberis, N ;
Shleifer, A ;
Vishny, R .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 1998, 49 (03) :307-343
[4]   An anatomy of the ''S&P game'': The effects of changing the rules [J].
Beneish, MD ;
Whaley, RE .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 1996, 51 (05) :1909-1930
[5]   POST-EARNINGS-ANNOUNCEMENT DRIFT - DELAYED PRICE RESPONSE OR RISK PREMIUM [J].
BERNARD, VL ;
THOMAS, JK .
JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING RESEARCH, 1989, 27 :1-36
[6]   EVIDENCE THAT STOCK-PRICES DO NOT FULLY REFLECT THE IMPLICATIONS OF CURRENT EARNINGS FOR FUTURE EARNINGS [J].
BERNARD, VL ;
THOMAS, JK .
JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING & ECONOMICS, 1990, 13 (04) :305-340
[7]   A NEW APPROACH TO DECOMPOSITION OF ECONOMIC TIME-SERIES INTO PERMANENT AND TRANSITORY COMPONENTS WITH PARTICULAR ATTENTION TO MEASUREMENT OF THE BUSINESS-CYCLE [J].
BEVERIDGE, S ;
NELSON, CR .
JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS, 1981, 7 (02) :151-174
[8]  
Black F., 1972, Studies in the Theory of Capital Markets
[9]   Momentum strategies [J].
Chan, LKC ;
Jegadeesh, N ;
Lakonishok, J .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 1996, 51 (05) :1681-1713
[10]   Career concerns of mutual fund managers [J].
Chevalier, J ;
Ellison, G .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 1999, 114 (02) :389-432