A real-valued genetic algorithm to optimize the parameters of support vector machine for predicting bankruptcy

被引:266
作者
Wu, Chih-Hung
Tzeng, Gwo-Hshiung
Goo, Yeong-Jia
Fang, Wen-Chang
机构
[1] Kainan Univ, Dept Business Adm, Tao Yuan 338, Taiwan
[2] Takming Coll, Dept Business Adm, Taipei 114, Taiwan
[3] Natl Chiao Tung Univ, Inst Management Technol, Hsinchu 300, Taiwan
[4] Natl Taipei Univ, Dept Business Adm, Taipei, Taiwan
关键词
support vector machine (SVM); real-valued; genetic algorithm (GM); financial distress; prediction; bootstrap simulation; NEURAL-NETWORK MODELS; FINANCIAL RATIOS;
D O I
10.1016/j.eswa.2005.12.008
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
Two parameters, C and Q, must be carefully predetermined in establishing an efficient support vector machine (SVM) model. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to develop a genetic-based SVM (GA-SVM) model that can automatically determine the optimal parameters, C and Q, of SVM with the highest predictive accuracy and generalization ability simultaneously. This paper pioneered on employing a real-valued genetic algorithm (GA) to optimize the parameters of SVM for predicting bankruptcy. Additionally, the proposed GA-SVM model was tested on the prediction of financial crisis in Taiwan to compare the accuracy of the proposed GA-SVM model with that of other models in multivariate statistics (DA, logit, and probit) and artificial intelligence (NN and SVM). Experimental results show that the GA-SVM model performs the best predictive accuracy, implying that integrating the RGA with traditional SVM model is very successful. (C) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:397 / 408
页数:12
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