Maximum likelihood estimation of stochastic volatility models

被引:246
作者
Ait-Sahalia, Yacine [1 ]
Kimmel, Robert
机构
[1] Princeton Univ, Dept Econ, Princeton, NJ 08540 USA
[2] Princeton Univ, Bendheil Ctr Finance, Princeton, NJ 08540 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
closed-form likelihood expansions; volatility proxies; Heston model; GARCH model; CEV model; OPTIONS; DENSITIES; IMPLICIT; MOMENTS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jfineco.2005.10.006
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We develop and implement a method for maximum likelihood estimation in closed-form of stochastic volatility models. Using Monte Carlo simulations, we compare a full likelihood procedure, where an option price is inverted into the unobservable volatility state, to an approximate likelihood procedure where the volatility state is replaced by proxies based on the implied volatility of a short-dated at-the-money option. The approximation results in a small loss of accuracy relative to the standard errors due to sampling noise. We apply this method to market prices of index options for several stochastic volatility models, and compare the characteristics of the estimated models. The evidence for a general CEV model, which nests both the affine Heston model and a GARCH model, suggests that the elasticity of variance of volatility lies between that assumed by the two nested models. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:413 / 452
页数:40
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