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Seismic hazard model for loss estimation and risk management in Taiwan
被引:23
作者:
Campbell, KW
Thenhaus, PC
Barnhard, TP
Hampson, DB
机构:
[1] ABS Consulting, Beaverton, OR 97006 USA
[2] EQECAT Inc, Beaverton, OR 97006 USA
[3] ABS Consulting, Evergreen, CO 80439 USA
关键词:
earthquakes;
portfolio management;
risk management;
risk modeling;
seismic hazard;
seismic risk;
seismic zonation;
seismicity;
Taiwan;
D O I:
10.1016/S0267-7261(02)00095-7
中图分类号:
P5 [地质学];
学科分类号:
0709 ;
081803 ;
摘要:
We developed a seismic hazard model for Taiwan that integrates all available tectonic, seismicity, and seismic hazard information in the region to provide risk managers and engineers with a model they can use to estimate earthquake losses and manage seismic risk in Taiwan. The seismic hazard model is composed of two major components: a seismotectonic model and a ground-shaking model. The seismotectonic model incorporates earthquakes that are expected to occur on the Ryukyu and Manila subduction zones, on the intermediate-depth Wadati-Benioff seismicity zones, on the active crustal faults, and within seismotectonic provinces. The active crustal faults include the Chelungpu fault zone, the source of the damaging M-w 7.6 Chi-Chi earthquake, and the Huangchi-Hsiaoyukeng fault zone that forms the western boundary of the Taipei Basin. The ground-shaking model uses both US, worldwide, and Taiwanese attenuation relations to provide robust estimates of peak ground acceleration and response spectral acceleration on a reference site condition for shallow crustal and subduction zone earthquakes. The ground shaking for other site conditions is obtained by applying a nonlinear soil-amplification factor defined in terms of the average shear-wave velocity in the top 30 in of the soil profile, consistent with the methodology used in the current US and proposed Taiwan building codes. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
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页码:743 / 754
页数:12
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