Contributions of Stratospheric Water Vapor to Decadal Changes in the Rate of Global Warming

被引：907

作者：

Solomon, Susan ^{[1
]}

Rosenlof, Karen H. ^{[1
]}

Portmann, Robert W. ^{[1
]}

Daniel, John S. ^{[1
]}

Davis, Sean M. ^{[1
,2
]}

Sanford, Todd J. ^{[1
,2
]}

Plattner, Gian-Kasper ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] NOAA, Earth Syst Res Lab, Div Chem Sci, Boulder, CO USA

[2] Univ Colorado, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA

[3] Univ Bern, Inst Phys, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland

来源：

SCIENCE | 2010年 / 327卷 / 5970期

基金：

美国海洋和大气管理局;

关键词：

VARIABILITY; CLIMATE; TRENDS; VALIDATION; BOULDER; CLOUDS;

D O I：

10.1126/science.1182488

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Stratospheric water vapor concentrations decreased by about 10% after the year 2000. Here we show that this acted to slow the rate of increase in global surface temperature over 2000-2009 by about 25% compared to that which would have occurred due only to carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. More limited data suggest that stratospheric water vapor probably increased between 1980 and 2000, which would have enhanced the decadal rate of surface warming during the 1990s by about 30% as compared to estimates neglecting this change. These findings show that stratospheric water vapor is an important driver of decadal global surface climate change.

引用

页码：1219 / 1223

页数：5

共 50 条

[11] Global Warming and Anthropogenic Emissions of Water Vapor
Li, Xuan
Peachey, Bruce
Maeda, Nobuo
LANGMUIR, 2024, 40 (14) : 7701 - 7709
[12] Comparison of decadal global water vapor changes derived from independent satellite time series
Mieruch, S.
Schroeder, M.
Noel, S.
Schulz, J.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2014, 119 (22) : 12489 - 12499
[13] Effect of Global Warming on the Stratospheric Ozone Depletion Rate in Catalytic Cycles
Larin, I. K.
RUSSIAN JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL CHEMISTRY B, 2020, 14 (02) : 344 - 350
[14] Effect of Global Warming on the Stratospheric Ozone Depletion Rate in Catalytic Cycles
I. K. Larin
Russian Journal of Physical Chemistry B, 2020, 14 : 344 - 350
[15] Changes in Interannual Variability and Decadal Potential Predictability under Global Warming
Boer, G. J.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2009, 22 (11) : 3098 - 3109
[16] On the influence of stratospheric water vapor changes on the tropospheric circulation
Joshi, MM
Charlton, AJ
Scaife, AA
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2006, 33 (09)
[17] Changes in water vapor and aerosols and their relation to stratospheric ozone
Rosenlof, Karen H.
COMPTES RENDUS GEOSCIENCE, 2018, 350 (07) : 376 - 383
[18] The Circulation Response to Idealized Changes in Stratospheric Water Vapor
Maycock, Amanda C.
Joshi, Manoj M.
Shine, Keith P.
Scaife, Adam A.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2013, 26 (02) : 545 - 561
[19] Convective Impact on the Global Lower Stratospheric Water Vapor Budget
Ueyama, Rei
Schoeberl, Mark
Jensen, Eric
Pfister, Leonhard
Park, Mijeong
Ryoo, Ju-Mee
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2023, 128 (06)
[20] Surface warming patterns dominate the uncertainty in global water vapor plus lapse rate feedback
Jingchun Zhang
Jian Ma
Jing Che
Zhenqiang Zhou
Guoping Gao
Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 2020, 39 : 81 - 89

← 1 2 3 4 5 →