Contributions of Stratospheric Water Vapor to Decadal Changes in the Rate of Global Warming

被引：907

作者：

Solomon, Susan ^{[1
]}

Rosenlof, Karen H. ^{[1
]}

Portmann, Robert W. ^{[1
]}

Daniel, John S. ^{[1
]}

Davis, Sean M. ^{[1
,2
]}

Sanford, Todd J. ^{[1
,2
]}

Plattner, Gian-Kasper ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] NOAA, Earth Syst Res Lab, Div Chem Sci, Boulder, CO USA

[2] Univ Colorado, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA

[3] Univ Bern, Inst Phys, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland

来源：

SCIENCE | 2010年 / 327卷 / 5970期

基金：

美国海洋和大气管理局;

关键词：

VARIABILITY; CLIMATE; TRENDS; VALIDATION; BOULDER; CLOUDS;

D O I：

10.1126/science.1182488

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Stratospheric water vapor concentrations decreased by about 10% after the year 2000. Here we show that this acted to slow the rate of increase in global surface temperature over 2000-2009 by about 25% compared to that which would have occurred due only to carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. More limited data suggest that stratospheric water vapor probably increased between 1980 and 2000, which would have enhanced the decadal rate of surface warming during the 1990s by about 30% as compared to estimates neglecting this change. These findings show that stratospheric water vapor is an important driver of decadal global surface climate change.

引用

页码：1219 / 1223

页数：5

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