Evaluation theory and its application to military assessments

被引:0
作者
Keith, Andrew [1 ]
Ahner, Darryl [1 ]
Curtis, Nicole [2 ]
机构
[1] US Air Force, Inst Technol, Dept Operat Sci, Wright Patterson AFB, OH 45433 USA
[2] US Dept Def, Forces Div J8, Washington, DC 20305 USA
来源
JOURNAL OF DEFENSE MODELING AND SIMULATION-APPLICATIONS METHODOLOGY TECHNOLOGY-JDMS | 2019年 / 16卷 / 04期
关键词
Operation assessment; evaluation theory; uncertainty; risk; ambiguity; UNCERTAINTY;
D O I
10.1177/1548512919834670
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
Evaluation theory provides a rigorous foundation for the practice of military operation assessment. Government and industry assessors have used evaluation theory to improve the effectiveness of assessment across a wide range of fields. This article focuses on the relationship between evaluation theory and military assessment. We briefly survey the major evaluation approaches with a focus on connecting the theoretical models to practical security-related applications. These evaluation approaches include expertise-oriented, program-oriented, decision-oriented, and participant-oriented models. Within the overarching framework of these approaches, we consider alternative monitoring and evaluation designs in detail, including descriptive designs (case study, cross-sectional, time-series), quasi-experimental designs (interrupted time-series, comparison group, case study), and experimental designs (posttest-only, pre-post). Then, we discuss quantitative and qualitative methods for analyzing and reporting uncertainty with respect to each design alternative, with an emphasis on mixed-method approaches. Throughout the review, we make the relationship between evaluation theory and operation assessment practice explicit through examples, and we suggest more detailed references where appropriate.
引用
收藏
页码:305 / 322
页数:18
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