Changes in analysts' information around earnings announcements

被引:141
作者
Barron, OE [1 ]
Byard, D
Kim, O
机构
[1] Penn State Univ, University Pk, PA 16802 USA
[2] CUNY Bernard M Baruch Coll, New York, NY 10010 USA
[3] Univ Maryland, College Pk, MD 20742 USA
关键词
common information; idiosyncratic information; earnings announcements; financial analysts; forecast aggregation;
D O I
10.2308/accr.2002.77.4.821
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
In this study we examine changes in the precision and the commonality of information contained in individual analysts' earnings forecasts, focusing on changes around earnings announcements. Using the empirical proxies suggested by the Barron et al. (1998) model that are based on the across-analyst correlation in forecast errors, we conclude that the commonality of information among active analysts decreases around earnings announcements. We also conclude that the idiosyncratic information contained in these individual analysts' forecasts increases immediately after earnings announcements, and that this increase is more significant as more analysts revise their forecasts. These results are consistent with theories positing that an important role of accounting disclosures is to trigger the generation of idiosyncratic information by elite information processors such as financial analysts (Kim and Verrecchia 1994, 1997).
引用
收藏
页码:821 / 846
页数:26
相关论文
共 43 条
[1]  
Barron O. E., 1998, Journal of Accounting, Auditing Finance, V13, P245
[2]   High-technology intangibles and analysts' forecasts [J].
Barron, OE ;
Byard, D ;
Kile, C ;
Riedl, EJ .
JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING RESEARCH, 2002, 40 (02) :289-312
[3]  
Barron OE, 1998, ACCOUNT REV, V73, P421
[4]   Earnings management to avoid earnings declines across publicly and privately held banks [J].
Beatty, AL ;
Ke, B ;
Petroni, KR .
ACCOUNTING REVIEW, 2002, 77 (03) :547-570
[5]  
BROWN LD, 1992, ACCOUNT REV, V67, P862
[6]   SUPERIORITY OF ANALYST FORECASTS AS MEASURES OF EXPECTATIONS - EVIDENCE FROM EARNINGS [J].
BROWN, LD ;
ROZEFF, MS .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 1978, 33 (01) :1-16
[7]   A temporal analysis of earnings surprises: Profits versus losses [J].
Brown, LD .
JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING RESEARCH, 2001, 39 (02) :221-241
[8]  
BURGSTAHLER DC, 2001, MANAGEMENT EARNINGS
[9]   THE FORECAST ACCURACY OF INDIVIDUAL ANALYSTS - EVIDENCE OF SYSTEMATIC OPTIMISM AND PESSIMISM [J].
BUTLER, KC ;
LANG, LHP .
JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING RESEARCH, 1991, 29 (01) :150-156
[10]  
BYARD D, 1998, THESIS U MARYLAND CO