Longitudinal Outcomes of Severe Asthma: Real-World Evidence of Multidimensional Analyses

被引:8
作者
Lee, Youngsoo [1 ]
Park, Youjin [2 ]
Kim, Chungsoo [2 ]
Lee, Eunyoung [3 ,4 ]
Lee, Hyun Young [5 ]
Woo, Seong-Dae [1 ]
You, Seng Chan [3 ]
Park, Rae Woong [2 ,3 ]
Park, Hae-Sim [1 ]
机构
[1] Ajou Univ, Dept Allergy & Clin Immunol, Sch Med, 164 Worldcup Ro, Suwon 16499, South Korea
[2] Ajou Univ, Dept Biomed Sci, Grad Sch Med, Suwon, South Korea
[3] Ajou Univ, Dept Biomed Informat, Sch Med, Suwon, South Korea
[4] Ajou Univ, Med Res Collaborat Ctr, Ajou Res Inst Innovat Med, Med Ctr,Off Biostat, Suwon, South Korea
[5] Ajou Univ, Clin Trial Ctr, Dept Stat, Med Ctr, Suwon, South Korea
关键词
Severe asthma; Clinical outcome; Asthma exacerbation; Eosinophil; Inflammation; Real-world evidence; BLOOD EOSINOPHIL COUNT; LUNG-FUNCTION DECLINE; SEVERE EXACERBATIONS; SPUTUM EOSINOPHILS; INFLAMMATION; BIOMARKER; PATHOPHYSIOLOGY; MEPOLIZUMAB; ACTIVATION; PHENOTYPE;
D O I
10.1016/j.jaip.2020.09.055
中图分类号
R392 [医学免疫学];
学科分类号
100102 ;
摘要
BACKGROUND: There have been few studies assessing long-term outcomes of asthma based on regular follow-up data. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to demonstrate clinical outcomes of asthma by multidimensional analyses of a long-term real-world database and a prediction model of severe asthma using machine learning. METHODS: The database included 567 severe and 1337 nonsevere adult asthmatics, who had been monitored during a follow-up of up to 10 years. We evaluated longitudinal changes in eosinophilic inflammation, lung function, and the annual number of asthma exacerbations (AEs) using a linear mixed effects model. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression was used to develop a prediction model for severe asthma. Model performance was evaluated and validated. RESULTS: Severe asthmatics had higher blood eosinophil (P = .02) and neutrophil (P <.001) counts at baseline than nonsevere asthmatics; blood eosinophil counts showed significantly slower declines in severe asthmatics than nonsevere asthmatics throughout the follow-up (P = .009). Severe asthmatics had a lower level of forced expiratory volume in 1 second (P <.001), which declined faster than nonsevere asthmatics (P = .033). Severe asthmatics showed a higher annual number of severe AEs than nonsevere asthmatics. The prediction model for severe asthma consisted of 17 variables, including novel biomarkers. CONCLUSIONS: Severe asthma is a distinct phenotype of asthma with persistent eosinophilia, progressive lung function decline, and frequent severe AEs even on regular asthma medication. We suggest a useful prediction model of severe asthma for research and clinical purposes. (C) 2020 American Academy of Allergy, Asthma & Immunology
引用
收藏
页码:1285 / +
页数:16
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