Long-range correlations in two-dimensional spatio-temporal seismic fluctuations

We analysed the scaling behaviour of the two-dimensional (2-D) sequence (Delta s, Delta t) of the 1981-1998 southern California seismicity, where Delta s is the distance between two consecutive earthquakes (jump) and Delta t is their interevent interval. The 2-D seismic spatio-temporal fluctuations were investigated by means of the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), well-known methodology used to detect scaling behaviour in observational time series possibly affected by nonstationarities. The estimated scaling exponents alpha(DFA), larger than 0.5, indicate the presence of persistent long-range correlations in the 2-D sequence analysed. The variation of the scaling exponent with the increase of threshold magnitude shows a two-fold behaviour: in the range between 1.5 (the completeness magnitude of the catalog) and 3.0, the scaling exponent is quite constant and denoting a flicker-noise dynamics; while for magnitudes larger than 3.0 it decreases with the increase of magnitude, indicating a tendency toward a 2-D space-time Poissonian process for large events. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.