Structural and reduced approaches of the equilibrium rate of unemployment, a comparison between France and the United States

被引:7
作者
Heyer, Eric [1 ]
Reynes, Frederic [1 ]
Sterdyniak, Henri [1 ]
机构
[1] Observ Francais Conjonctures Econ, F-75007 Paris, France
关键词
equilibrium unemployment; TV-NAIRU; Phillips curve; structural model; Kalman filter; MONEY WAGE RATES; DYNAMICS; EXPECTATIONS; INFLATION; KINGDOM; NAIRU;
D O I
10.1016/j.econmod.2006.06.005
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper confronts, theoretically and empirically, two estimation methods for the Equilibrium Rate of Unemployment (ERU), which can be derived from a WS/PS model or from a wage Phillips curve. It shows how the TV-NAIRU reduced approach can be theoretically coherent with the structural approach even though their empirical diagnoses differ appreciably in the French case. It considerably improves the econometric and explanatory properties of the French TV-NAIRU model by identifying some of its determinants (namely, inflation, labour productivity and real interest rates). (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:42 / 65
页数:24
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