Predicting future duration from present age: a critical assessment

被引：13

作者：

Caves, CM ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ New Mexico, Dept Phys & Astron, Ctr Adv Studies, Albuquerque, NM 87131 USA

来源：

CONTEMPORARY PHYSICS | 2000年 / 41卷 / 03期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1080/001075100181105

中图分类号：

O4 [物理学];

学科分类号：

0702 ;

摘要：

Using a temporal version of the Copernican principle, Gott has proposed a statistical predictor of future longevity, based on present age (Gott III, J. R,, 1993, Nature, 363, 315) and applied the predictor to a variety of examples, including the longevity of the human spec ies. Although Gott's proposal contains a grain of truth, it does not have the universal predictive power that he attributes to it.

引用

页码：143 / 153

页数：11

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