Energy [R]evolution 2008-a sustainable world energy perspective

被引:28
作者
Krewitt, Wolfram [1 ]
Teske, Sven [4 ]
Simon, Sonja [1 ]
Pregger, Thomas [1 ]
Graus, Wina [2 ]
Blomen, Eliane [2 ]
Schmid, Stephan [3 ]
Schafer, Oliver [5 ]
机构
[1] DLR, German Aerosp Ctr, Inst Tech Thermodynam, Dept Syst Anal & Technol Assessment, D-70565 Stuttgart, Germany
[2] Ecofys, NL-3526 KL Utrecht, Netherlands
[3] DLR, German Aerosp Ctr, Inst Vehicle Concepts Innovat Vehicle Syst & Tech, D-70565 Stuttgart, Germany
[4] Greenpeace Int, NL-1066 AZ Amsterdam, Netherlands
[5] European Renewable Energy Council, B-1040 Brussels, Belgium
关键词
Global energy scenario; Renewable energies; Energy efficiency;
D O I
10.1016/j.enpol.2009.08.042
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
The Energy [R]evolution 2008 scenario is an update of the Energy [R]evolution scenario published in 2007. It takes up recent trends in global socio-economic developments, and analyses to which extent they affect chances for achieving global climate protection targets. The main target is to reduce global CO2 emissions to 10 Gt per year in 2050, thus limiting global average temperature increase to 2 degrees C and preventing dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. A review of sector and region specific energy efficiency measures resulted in the specification of a global energy demand scenario incorporating strong energy efficiency measures. The corresponding energy supply scenario has been developed in an iterative process in close cooperation with stakeholders and regional counterparts from academia, NGOs and the renewable energy industry. The Energy [R]evolution scenario shows that renewable energy can provide more than half of the world's energy needs by 2050. Developing countries can virtually stabilise their CO2 emissions, whilst at the same time increasing energy consumption through economic growth. OECD countries will be able to reduce their emissions by up to 80%. (C) 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:5764 / 5775
页数:12
相关论文
共 19 条
[2]  
[Anonymous], 2008, WORLD EN OUTL 2008
[3]  
[Anonymous], 2007, WORLD EN OUTL 2007
[4]  
[Anonymous], 2004, IEA SMP MODEL DOCUME
[5]  
[Anonymous], WORLD POP PROSP 2006
[6]  
FULTON L, 2004, IEA SMP TRANSPORTATI
[7]  
GRAUS W, 2008, 073841 EREC PECSNL G
[8]  
*GREENP EREC, 2007, 035 GPI REF JN EREC
[9]  
*GREENP EREC, 2008, EN REV 2008 SUST WOR
[10]  
Hansen J., 2008, Target atmospheric CO2: Where should humanity aim?