Apples, oranges, and consistent comparisons of the temporal dynamics of energy transitions

被引：143

作者：

Grubler, Arnulf ^{[1
,2
]}

Wilson, Charlie ^{[1
,3
]}

Nemet, Gregory ^{[4
]}

机构：

[1] Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Schlosspl 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria

[2] Yale Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, 195 Prospect St, New Haven, CT 06511 USA

[3] Univ East Anglia, Tyndall Ctr Climate Change Res, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England

[4] Univ Wisconsin, La Follette Sch Publ Affairs, 1225 Observ Dr, Madison, WI 53706 USA

来源：

ENERGY RESEARCH & SOCIAL SCIENCE | 2016年 / 22卷

关键词：

Technology diffusion; Energy transitions; Adoption rates; INNOVATION SYSTEMS; TECHNOLOGICAL-CHANGE; DIFFUSION; AUTOMOBILE; FRAMEWORK; PATTERNS; INSIGHTS; PRICES; AGENCY; POLICY;

D O I：

10.1016/j.erss.2016.08.015

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

Benjamin Sovacool (2016) has provided interesting food for thought in asking "how long will it take?" for the unfolding of energy transitions. Historical evidence of "grand" or global energy system transitions taking decades to centuries to unfold contrasted with highly selective recent and rapid examples of mostly incremental technological change make for an engaging argument. But the observed contrasts are due to the apples-and-oranges comparison between transitions that are measured differently, defined differently, characterized by different processes, and explained differently. Crown Copyright (C) 2016 Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：18 / 25

页数：8

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