Predictive analytic models of student success in higher education A review of methodology

被引:28
作者
Cui, Ying [1 ]
Chen, Fu [1 ]
Shiri, Ali [2 ]
Fan, Yaqin [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Alberta, Dept Educ Psychol, Edmonton, AB, Canada
[2] Univ Alberta, Dept Lib & Informat Studies, Edmonton, AB, Canada
[3] Northeast Normal Univ, Dept Educ Technol, Changchun, Jilin, Peoples R China
关键词
Higher education; Machine learning; Student success; Learning analytics; Educational data mining; Methodology review; Predictive models; LEARNING ANALYTICS; PERFORMANCE; PARTICIPATION; MOTIVATION;
D O I
10.1108/ILS-10-2018-0104
中图分类号
G25 [图书馆学、图书馆事业]; G35 [情报学、情报工作];
学科分类号
1205 ; 120501 ;
摘要
Purpose - Many higher education institutions are investigating the possibility of developing predictive student success models that use different sources of data available to identify students that might be at risk of failing a course or program. The purpose of this paper is to review the methodological components related to the predictive models that have been developed or currently implemented in learning analytics applications in higher education. Design/methodology/approach - Literature review was completed in three stages. First, the authors conducted searches and collected related full-text documents using various search terms and keywords. Second, they developed inclusion and exclusion criteria to identify the most relevant citations for the purpose of the current review. Third, they reviewed each document from the final compiled bibliography and focused on identifying information that was needed to answer the research questions Findings - In this review, the authors identify methodological strengths and weaknesses of current predictive learning analytics applications and provide the most up-to-date recommendations on predictive model development, use and evaluation. The review results can inform important future areas of research that could strengthen the development of predictive learning analytics for the purpose of generating valuable feedback to students to help them succeed in higher education. Originality/value - This review provides an overview of the methodological considerations for researchers and practitioners who are planning to develop or currently in the process of developing predictive student success models in the context of higher education.
引用
收藏
页码:208 / 227
页数:20
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