A simplified model based on clearness index for estimating yearly performance of hybrid PV energy systems

A simplified model for estimating the energy contribution of PV converter in a hybrid PV-wind system is presented. The simplified model determines the yearly solar-fraction, that is the fraction of energy demand provided by PV, and the remaining loss of load (LOL) is assumed to be provided by wind turbines. The novel model is based on simulation results derived from 8 years of measured hour-by-hour solar irradiation data from five different locations in the world. The system performance is simulated by the PV-wind energy simulation program of the Cardiff School of Engineering (ARES). An hourly constant load profile is assumed. The performance of a PV system is primarily dependent on the solar irradiation distribution in a given location for the period of time in question. The new model correlates the location dependence observed in the yearly solar fraction curves of different data sets with one of the most characteristic solar irradiation distribution parameters, the yearly clearness index of the respective solar irradiation data. The new model requires the yearly clearness index value, which is commonly available for most locations throughout the world, as input. As the novel model is validated with solar irradiation data from different locations in the world, it could be used for predicting the solar fraction in a hybrid PV system with a very high level of accuracy, for a wide range of climates. Copyright (C) 2002 John Wiley Sons, Ltd.