Large-scale data analysis of power grid resilience across multiple US service regions

被引:62
作者
Ji, Chuanyi [1 ]
Wei, Yun [1 ]
Mei, Henry [1 ]
Calzada, Jorge [2 ]
Carey, Matthew [3 ]
Church, Steve [4 ]
Hayes, Timothy [5 ]
Nugent, Brian [6 ]
Stella, Gregory [3 ]
Wallace, Matthew [3 ]
White, Joe [6 ]
Wilcox, Robert [2 ]
机构
[1] Georgia Inst Technol, Sch Elect & Comp Engn, Atlanta, GA 30332 USA
[2] Natl Grid, Waltham, MA 02451 USA
[3] New York State Publ Serv Commiss, Albany, NY 12223 USA
[4] New York State Elect & Gas Corp, Binghamton, NY 13904 USA
[5] Cent Hudson Gas & Elect Corp, Poughkeepsie, NY 12601 USA
[6] Orange & Rockland Util, Pearl River, NY 10965 USA
关键词
IMPACTS; OUTAGES; SYSTEMS;
D O I
10.1038/NENERGY.2016.52
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
Severe weather events frequently result in large-scale power failures, affecting millions of people for extended durations. However, the lack of comprehensive, detailed failure and recovery data has impeded large-scale resilience studies. Here, we analyse data from four major service regions representing Upstate New York during Super Storm Sandy and daily operations. Using non-stationary spatiotemporal random processes that relate infrastructural failures to recoveries and cost, our data analysis shows that local power failures have a disproportionally large non-local impact on people (that is, the top 20% of failures interrupted 84% of services to customers). A large number (89%) of small failures, represented by the bottom 34% of customers and commonplace devices, resulted in 56% of the total cost of 28 million customer interruption hours. Our study shows that extreme weather does not cause, but rather exacerbates, existing vulnerabilities, which are obscured in daily operations.
引用
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页数:8
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