The temporal correlation and spatial synchrony in the stemborer and parasitoid system of Coast Kenya with climate effects

The spatial synchrony and the temporal auto-correlationship of the exotic stemborer Chilo partellus (Swinhoe) (Lepidoptera: Crambidae) and the indigenous Sesamia calamistis Hampson (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) and Chilo orichalcociliellus (Strand) (Lepidoptera: Crambidae), and cross-correlationship with their indigenous and introduced larval parasitoids Cotesia sesamiae (Cameron) and Cotesia flavipes Cameron (Hymenoptera: Braconidae) was studied using 3-year data collected in coastal Kenya. An autoregressive model was used to study the effect of climatic stochasticity or population density-dependent factors on stemborer populations. It appeared that rainfall did have a direct impact on stemborers in the south coast and an indirect one in the north coast. Spatial non-parametric correlation functions (SNCF) and cross-correlation functions (SNCCF) were applied for spatial synchrony analysis. The regional synchrony of Ch. partellus and S. calamistis decreased and that of Ch. orichalcociliellus increased after the introduction of Co. flavipes. The positive cross-correlation coefficient between stemborers and parasitoids suggests a synchrony between the pest and its natural enemy.