The economic impact of SARS in Beijing, China

被引：73

作者：

Beutels, Philippe ^{[2
,6
]}

Jia, Na ^{[1
]}

Zhou, Qing-Yi ^{[3
]}

Smith, Richard ^{[4
]}

Cao, Wu-Chun ^{[1
]}

de Vlas, Sake J. ^{[5
]}

机构：

[1] Beijing Inst Microbiol & Epidemiol, State Key Lab Pathogen & Biosecur, Beijing 100071, Peoples R China

[2] Univ Antwerp, Fac Med, Vaccine & Infect Dis Inst, Ctr Hlth Econ Res & Modeling Infect Dis, Antwerp, Belgium

[3] Capital Med Univ, Dept Publ Hlth, Beijing, Peoples R China

[4] London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Hlth Policy Unit, London WC1, England

[5] Univ Med Ctr Rotterdam, Erasmus MC, Dept Publ Hlth, Rotterdam, Netherlands

[6] Univ Sydney, Sch Publ Hlth, Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia

来源：

TROPICAL MEDICINE & INTERNATIONAL HEALTH | 2009年 / 14卷

关键词：

severe acute respiratory syndrome; economic impact; leisure industry; postponed consumption; losses; People's Republic of China;

D O I：

10.1111/j.1365-3156.2008.02210.x

中图分类号：

R1 [预防医学、卫生学];

学科分类号：

1004 ; 120402 ;

摘要：

P>Objective To document the impact of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) outbreak in Beijing on indicators of social and economic activity. Methods Associations between time series of daily and monthly SARS cases and deaths and volume of public train, airplane and cargo transport, tourism, household consumption patterns and gross domestic product growth in Beijing were investigated using the cross-correlation function. Results Significant correlation coefficients were found for all indicators except wholesale accounts and expenditures on necessities, with the most significant correlations occurring with a delay of 1 day to 1 month. Conclusions Especially leisure activities, local and international transport and tourism were affected by SARS particularly in May 2003. Much of this consumption was merely postponed; but irrecoverable losses to the tourist sector alone were estimated at about US$ 1.4 bn, or 300 times the cost of treatment for SARS cases in Beijing.

引用

页码：85 / 91

页数：7

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