Overview of the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM2) and key climate response of CMIP6 DECK, historical, and scenario simulations

被引:239
作者
Seland, Oyvind [1 ]
Bentsen, Mats [2 ,3 ]
Olivie, Dirk [1 ]
Toniazzo, Thomas [2 ,3 ,7 ]
Gjermundsen, Ada [1 ]
Graff, Lise Seland [1 ]
Debernard, Jens Boldingh [1 ]
Gupta, Alok Kumar [2 ,3 ]
He, Yan-Chun [4 ]
Kirkevag, Alf [1 ]
Schwinger, Jorg [2 ,3 ]
Tjiputra, Jerry [2 ,3 ]
Aas, Kjetil Schanke [5 ]
Bethke, Ingo [3 ,6 ]
Fan, Yuanchao [2 ,3 ]
Griesfeller, Jan [1 ]
Grini, Alf [1 ]
Guo, Chuncheng [2 ,3 ]
Ilicak, Mehmet [2 ,3 ,8 ]
Karset, Inger Helene Hafsahl [5 ]
Landgren, Oskar [1 ]
Liakka, Johan [4 ]
Moseid, Kine Onsum [1 ]
Nummelin, Aleksi [2 ,3 ]
Spensberger, Clemens [3 ,6 ]
Tang, Hui [5 ]
Zhang, Zhongshi [2 ,3 ]
Heinze, Christoph [3 ,6 ]
Iversen, Trond [1 ,5 ]
Schulz, Michael [1 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Norwegian Meteorol Inst, Oslo, Norway
[2] NORCE Norwegian Res Ctr AS, Bergen, Norway
[3] Bjerknes Ctr Climate Res, Bergen, Norway
[4] Nansen Environm & Remote Sensing Ctr, Bergen, Norway
[5] Univ Oslo, Dept Geosci, Oslo, Norway
[6] Univ Bergen, Geophys Inst, Bergen, Norway
[7] Stockholm Univ, Dept Meteorol, Stockholm, Sweden
[8] Istanbul Tech Univ, Eurasia Inst Earth Sci, Istanbul, Turkey
基金
欧盟地平线“2020”;
关键词
PART I; ATMOSPHERE RADIATION; GLOBAL PRECIPITATION; WESTERN PACIFIC; VERSION; OCEAN; AEROSOL; SENSITIVITY; SATELLITE; EMISSIONS;
D O I
10.5194/gmd-13-6165-2020
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
The second version of the coupled Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM2) is presented and evaluated. NorESM2 is based on the second version of the Community Earth System Model (CESM2) and shares with CESM2 the computer code infrastructure and many Earth system model components. However, NorESM2 employs entirely different ocean and ocean biogeochemistry models. The atmosphere component of NorESM2 (CAM-Nor) includes a different module for aerosol physics and chemistry, including interactions with cloud and radiation; additionally, CAM-Nor includes improvements in the formulation of local dry and moist energy conservation, in local and global angular momentum conservation, and in the computations for deep convection and air-sea fluxes. The surface components of NorESM2 have minor changes in the albedo calculations and to land and sea-ice models. We present results from simulations with NorESM2 that were carried out for the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). Two versions of the model are used: one with lower (similar to 2 degrees) atmosphere-land resolution and one with medium (similar to 1 degrees) atmosphere-land resolution. The stability of the pre-industrial climate and the sen- sitivity of the model to abrupt and gradual quadrupling of CO2 are assessed, along with the ability of the model to simulate the historical climate under the CMIP6 forcings. Compared to observations and reanalyses, NorESM2 represents an improvement over previous versions of NorESM in most aspects. NorESM2 appears less sensitive to greenhouse gas forcing than its predecessors, with an estimated equilibrium climate sensitivity of 2.5 K in both resolutions on a 150-year time frame; however, this estimate increases with the time window and the climate sensitivity at equilibration is much higher. We also consider the model response to future scenarios as defined by selected Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project defined under CMIP6. Under the four scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5), the warming in the period 2090-2099 compared to 1850-1879 reaches 1.3, 2.2, 3.0, and 3.9 K in NorESM2-LM, and 1.3, 2.1, 3.1, and 3.9 K in NorESM-MM, robustly similar in both resolutions. NorESM2-LM shows a rather satisfactory evolution of recent sea-ice area. In NorESM2-LM, an ice-free Arctic Ocean is only avoided in the SSP1-2.6 scenario.
引用
收藏
页码:6165 / 6200
页数:36
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