Prediction of treatment response using gene expression profiles

This paper concerns prediction of clinical outcome from gene expression profiles using work in a different area, nonlinear system identification. In particular, the approach can predict long-term treatment response from data of a landmark article by Golub et al. (Golub, T. R.; Slonim, D. K.; Tamayo, P.; Huard, C.; Gaasenbeek, M.; Mesirov, J. P. et al. Science 1999, 286, 531-537) that has not previously been achieved with these data. The present paper shows that, for these data, gene expression profiles taken at time of diagnosis of acute myeloid leukemia contain information predictive of eventual response to chemotherapy. This was not evident in previous work; indeed, the Golub et al. article did not find a set of genes strongly correlated with clinical outcome. However, the present approach can accurately predict outcome class of gene expression profiles even when the genes do not have large differences in expression levels between the classes.