A micro-scale cost-benefit analysis of building-level flood risk adaptation measures in Los Angeles

被引:42
作者
de Ruig, Lars T. [1 ]
Haer, Toon [1 ]
de Moel, Hans [1 ]
Botzen, W. J. Wouter [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H. [1 ]
机构
[1] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Inst Environm Studies IVM, De Boelelaan 1085, NL-1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands
[2] Univ Penn, Wharton Sch, Ctr Risk Management & Decis Proc, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA
[3] Univ Utrecht, Sch Econ, Kriekenpitpl 21-22, NL-3584 EC Utrecht, Netherlands
关键词
Adaptation; Building level; Climate change; Cost-benefit analysis; Flood risk analysis; Sea level rise; CLIMATE-CHANGE; STRATEGIES; COMMUNICATION; RESILIENCE; CITIES; PROTECTION; MOTIVATION; PATHWAYS;
D O I
10.1016/j.wre.2019.100147
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Cost-benefit analysis (CBA) of flood risk adaptation strategies offers policymakers insight into economically optimal strategies for adapting to sea level rise. However, building-level adaptation measures such as floodproofing or building elevation are often evaluated at aggregated spatial scales, which may result in sub-optimal investment decisions. In this paper, we develop a flood risk model and combine it with a micro-scale CBA at the building level to obtain an optimal mix of adaptation measures per area. We apply this approach to Venice Beach in Los Angeles and Naples in Long Beach. We subsequently compare our results with the conventional, spatially aggregated area-based CBA approach. Our findings show that a mix of 35%-45% dry-flood proofing measures and 55%-65% building elevation measures is optimal. Elevation works best in areas with high inundation depths, while dry-floodproofing is preferable in areas with shallow inundation depths. The optimal mix of measures derived from our micro-scale approach results in an economic efficiency up to 85% higher than that yielded by the commonly applied spatially aggregated approach. We therefore recommend that economic evaluations of building-level adaptation measures are conducted at the smallest possible scale, or that CBAs are performed on disaggregated areas based on inundation depth.
引用
收藏
页数:14
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