Future impacts of nitrogen deposition and climate change scenarios on forest crown defoliation

被引：39

作者：

De Marco, Alessandra ^{[1
]}

Proietti, Chiara ^{[2
]}

Cionni, Irene ^{[1
]}

Fischer, Richard ^{[3
]}

Screpanti, Augusto ^{[1
]}

Vitale, Marcello ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] ENEA, Italian Natl Agcy New Technol Energy & Environm, I-00123 Rome, Italy

[2] Univ Roma La Sapienza, Dept Environm Biol, I-00185 Rome, Italy

[3] Johann Heinrich von Thunen Inst, World Forestry Inst, D-21031 Hamburg, Germany

来源：

ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION | 2014年 / 194卷

关键词：

Crown defoliation; Nitrogen deposition; Climate change; Random forests analysis; General regression models; FAGUS-SYLVATICA L; TREE MORTALITY; AIR-POLLUTION; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; GLOBAL ASSESSMENT; CARBON STORAGE; DROUGHT; GROWTH; EUROPE; STRESS;

D O I：

10.1016/j.envpol.2014.07.027

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

Defoliation is an indicator for forest health in response to several stressors including air pollutants, and one of the most important parameters monitored in the International Cooperative Programme on Assessment and Monitoring of Air Pollution Effects on Forests (ICP Forests). The study aims to estimate crown defoliation in 2030, under three climate and one nitrogen deposition scenarios, based on evaluation of the most important factors (meteorological, nitrogen deposition and chemical soil parameters) affecting defoliation of twelve European tree species. The combination of favourable climate and nitrogen fertilization in the more adaptive species induces a generalized decrease of defoliation. On the other hand, severe climate change and drought are main causes of increase in defoliation in Quercus ilex and Fagus sylvatica, especially in Mediterranean area. Our results provide information on regional distribution of future defoliation, an important knowledge for identifying policies to counteract negative impacts of climate change and air pollution. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：171 / 180

页数：10

共 82 条

[71]

UNECE, 2010, MAPP MAN UNECE CONV

[72] Interannual variability in global biomass burning emissions from 1997 to 2004 [J].

van der Werf, G. R. ;

Randerson, J. T. ;

Giglio, L. ;

Collatz, G. J. ;

Kasibhatla, P. S. ;

Arellano, A. F., Jr. .

ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2006, 6 :3423-3441

[73] Climate controls on the variability of fires in the tropics and subtropics [J].

van der Werf, Guido R. ;

Randerson, James T. ;

Giglio, Louis ;

Gobron, Nadine ;

Dolman, A. J. .

GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES, 2008, 22 (03)

[74] Widespread Increase of Tree Mortality Rates in the Western United States [J].

van Mantgem, Phillip J. ;

Stephenson, Nathan L. ;

Byrne, John C. ;

Daniels, Lori D. ;

Franklin, Jerry F. ;

Fule, Peter Z. ;

Harmon, Mark E. ;

Larson, Andrew J. ;

Smith, Jeremy M. ;

Taylor, Alan H. ;

Veblen, Thomas T. .

SCIENCE, 2009, 323 (5913) :521-524

[75] The impact of nitrogen deposition on carbon sequestration by European forests and heathlands [J].

de Vries, W. ;

Solberg, S. ;

Dobbertin, M. ;

Sterba, H. ;

Laubhann, D. ;

van Oijen, M. ;

Evans, C. ;

Gundersen, P. ;

Kros, J. ;

Wamelink, G. W. W. ;

Reinds, G. J. ;

Sutton, M. A. .

FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2009, 258 (08) :1814-1823

[76] Effects of nitrogen saturation on tree growth and death in a mixed-oak forest [J].

Wallace, Zachary P. ;

Lovett, Gary M. ;

Hart, Julie E. ;

Machona, Bruce .

FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2007, 243 (2-3) :210-218

[77] Warming and earlier spring increase western US forest wildfire activity [J].

Westerling, A. L. ;

Hidalgo, H. G. ;

Cayan, D. R. ;

Swetnam, T. W. .

SCIENCE, 2006, 313 (5789) :940-943

[78] Food choices, health and environment: Effects of cutting Europe's meat and dairy intake [J].

Westhoek, Henk ;

Lesschen, Jan Peter ;

Rood, Trudy ;

Wagner, Susanne ;

De Marco, Alessandra ;

Murphy-Bokern, Donal ;

Leip, Adrian ;

van Grinsven, Hans ;

Sutton, Mark A. ;

Oenema, Oene .

GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 2014, 26 :196-205

[79] Plants reverse warming effect on ecosystem water balance [J].

Zavaleta, ES ;

Thomas, BD ;

Chiariello, NR ;

Asner, GP ;

Shaw, MR ;

Field, CB .

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2003, 100 (17) :9892-9893

[80] Additive effects of simulated climate changes, elevated CO2, and nitrogen deposition on grassland diversity [J].

Zavaleta, ES ;

Shaw, MR ;

Chiariello, NR ;

Mooney, HA ;

Field, CB .

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2003, 100 (13) :7650-7654

← 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 →