Analyzing time-frequency relationship between interest rate, stock price and exchange rate through continuous wavelet

被引:51
作者
Andries, Alin Marius [1 ,2 ]
Ihnatov, Iulian [1 ]
Tiwari, Aviral Kumar [3 ]
机构
[1] Alexandru Ioan Cuza Univ, Iasi, Romania
[2] Univ St Gallen, St Gallen, Switzerland
[3] ICFAI Univ Tripura, Sadar 799210, West Tripura, India
关键词
Cyclical effects; Anti-cyclical effects; Granger-causality; Phase difference; Cross wavelets; Wavelet coherence; MONETARY-POLICY; RETURNS; COHERENCE; MARKETS;
D O I
10.1016/j.econmod.2014.05.013
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
In this study we investigate and identify the patterns of co-movement of interest rate, stock price and exchange rate in India in the period between July 1997 and December 2010 using the cross-wavelet power, the cross-wavelet coherency, and the phase difference methodologies. Our empirical findings suggest that stock prices, exchange rates and interest rates are linked. The cross wavelet results show that stock price movements are lagging both to the exchange rate and interest rate fluctuations. The interest rate lead over the stock price movements is even clearer, especially after 2006, and it suggests that the stock market follows the interest rate signals. Comparing results of WTC and XWT, we find very clear results of phase difference of lead-lag relationship between stock prices, exchange rates and interest rates. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:227 / 238
页数:12
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