Prognostic impact of Framingham heart failure criteria in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

Aims This study aims to assess prognostic impact of Framingham criteria for heart failure (FC-HF) in patients with stable heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Methods and results In the prospective Karolinska-Rennes (KaRen) study, we assessed stable HFpEF patients after an acute HF episode. We evaluated associations between the four descriptive models of HFpEF and the composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and HF hospitalization. The descriptive models were FC-HF alone, FC-HF + natriuretic peptides (NPs) according to the PARAGON trial, FC-HF + NPs + echocardiographic HFpEF criteria according to European Society of Cardiology HF guidelines, and FC-HF + NPs + echocardiographic criteria according to the PARAGON trial. Out of the 539 patients enrolled in KaRen, 438 returned for the stable state revisit after 4-8 weeks, 13 (2.4%) patients died before the planned follow-up, and 88 patients (16%) declined or were unable to return. Three hundred ninety-nine patients have FC registered at follow-up, and among these, the four descriptive models were met in 107 (27%), 82 (22%), 61 (21%), and 69 (22%) patients, and not met in 292 (73%). The 107 patients that had FC-HF at stable state (descriptive model 1) could also be part of the other models because all patients in models 1-4 had to fulfil the FC-HF. The patients in model 0 did not fulfil the criteria for FC-HF but could have single FC. Of single FC, only pleural effusion predicted the endpoint [hazard ratio (HR) 3.38, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.47-7.76, P = 0.004]. Patients without FC-HF had better prognosis than patients meeting FC-HF. The unadjusted associations between the four HFpEF descriptive models and the endpoint were HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.14-2.09, P = 0.005; HR 1.71, 95% CI 1.24-2.36, P = 0.002; HR 1.95, 95% CI 1.36-2.81, P = 0.001; and HR 2.05, 95% CI 1.45-2.91, P < 0.001, for descriptive models 1-4, respectively. No descriptive model independently predicted the endpoint. Conclusions In ambulatory HFpEF patients, a quarter met FC-HF, while most met NP and echocardiography criteria for HF. Residual FC-HF tended to be associated with increased risk for mortality and HF hospitalization, further strengthened by NPs and echocardiographic criteria, highlighting its role in clinical risk assessment.