Age estimation of adult human remains from hip bones using advanced methods

被引:38
作者
Koterova, Anezka [1 ]
Navega, David [2 ]
Stepanovsky, Michal [3 ]
Buk, Zdenek [3 ]
Bruzek, Jaroslav [1 ]
Cunha, Eugenia [2 ]
机构
[1] Charles Univ Prague, Fac Sci, Dept Anthropol & Human Genet, Vinicna 7, Prague 12843, Czech Republic
[2] Univ Coimbra, Dept Life Sci, Lab Forens Anthropol, Ctr Funct Ecol, P-3000456 Coimbra, Portugal
[3] Czech Tech Univ, Fac Informat Technol, Thakurova 9, Prague 16000, Czech Republic
关键词
Age-at-death estimation; Pelvis; Advanced mathematical methods; Pubic symphysis; Auricular surface; Visual assessment; AT-DEATH ESTIMATION; 3D LASER SCANS; SKELETAL AGE; FORENSIC ANTHROPOLOGY; AURICULAR SURFACE; ANCESTRY ESTIMATION; PUBIC SYMPHYSIS; TECHNICAL NOTE; PHASE-ANALYSIS; RELIABILITY;
D O I
10.1016/j.forsciint.2018.03.047
中图分类号
DF [法律]; D9 [法律]; R [医药、卫生];
学科分类号
0301 ; 10 ;
摘要
The assessment of age-at-death is an important and challenging part of investigations of human skeletal remains. The main objective of the present study was to apply different mathematical approaches in order to reach more accurate and reliable results in age estimation. A multi-ethnic dataset (n = 941) of evaluated age-related changes on the pubic symphysis and the auricular surface of the hip bone was used. Two research groups examined nine different mathematical approaches. The best results were reached by Multi-linear regression, followed by the Collapsed regression model, with MAE values of 9.7 and 9.9 years, respectively, and with RMSE values of 12.1 and 12.2, respectively. The mean accuracy of decision tree models ranged between 30.7% and 72.3%, with the model using only the PUSx indicator performing the best. Moreover, our results indicate that the limiting factor of age estimation can be the visual evaluation of age-related changes. Further research is required to objectify the proposed methods for estimating age. (c) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:163 / 175
页数:13
相关论文
共 95 条
[1]  
ACSADI G, 1970, P346
[2]  
[Anonymous], 1980, J HUM EVOL, V9, P517
[3]  
BACCINO E, 1991, J MED LEG DROIT MED, V34, P27
[4]  
Baccino E., 2013, Encyclopedia of Forensic Sciences, V2nd edn, P42, DOI DOI 10.1016/B978-0-12-382165-2.00009-X
[5]  
Baccino E., 1997, Proceedings of the American Academy of Forensic Sciences, V3, P150
[6]   Technical note: The two step procedure (TSP) for the determination of age at death of adult human remains in forensic cases [J].
Baccino, Eric ;
Sinfield, Laura ;
Colomb, Sophie ;
Baum, Thierry Pascal ;
Martrille, Laurent .
FORENSIC SCIENCE INTERNATIONAL, 2014, 244 :247-251
[7]   TEST OF THE MULTIFACTORIAL AGING METHOD USING SKELETONS WITH KNOWN AGES-AT-DEATH FROM THE GRANT COLLECTION [J].
BEDFORD, ME ;
RUSSELL, KF ;
LOVEJOY, CO ;
MEINDL, RS ;
SIMPSON, SW ;
STUARTMACADAM, PL .
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL ANTHROPOLOGY, 1993, 91 (03) :287-297
[8]   Pubic bone age estimation in adult women [J].
Berg, Gregory E. .
JOURNAL OF FORENSIC SCIENCES, 2008, 53 (03) :569-577
[9]   Three dimensional surface analyses of pubic symphyseal faces of contemporary Japanese reconstructed with 3D digitized scanner [J].
Biwasaka, Hitoshi ;
Sato, Kei ;
Aoki, Yasuhiro ;
Kato, Hideaki ;
Maeno, Yoshitaka ;
Tanijiri, Toyohisa ;
Fujita, Sachiko ;
Dewa, Koji .
LEGAL MEDICINE, 2013, 15 (05) :264-268
[10]  
Boldsen J., 2002, Paleodemography: Age distributions from skeletal samples, P73, DOI DOI 10.1017/CBO9780511542428.005