The role of short-lived climate pollutants in meeting temperature goals

被引：0

作者：

Bowerman, Niel H. A. ^{[1
]}

Frame, David J. ^{[2
]}

Huntingford, Chris ^{[3
]}

Lowe, Jason A. ^{[4
]}

Smith, Stephen M. ^{[5
]}

Allen, Myles R. ^{[1
,6
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Oxford, Dept Phys, Oxford OX1 3PU, England

[2] Victoria Univ Wellington, New Zealand Climate Change Res Inst, Wellington 6012, New Zealand

[3] Ctr Ecol & Hydrol, Wallingford OX10 8BB, Oxon, England

[4] Met Off, Exeter EX1 3PB, Devon, England

[5] Comm Climate Change, London SW1W 8NR, England

[6] Univ Oxford, Oxford Univ Ctr Environm, Oxford OX1 3QY, England

来源：

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE | 2013年 / 3卷 / 12期

基金：

英国自然环境研究理事会;

关键词：

CUMULATIVE CARBON EMISSIONS; BLACK CARBON; IMPACTS;

D O I：

10.1038/NCLIMATE2034

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

Some recent high-profile publications have suggested that immediately reducing emissions of methane, black carbon and other short-lived climate pollutants (SLCPs) may contribute substantially towards the goal of limiting global warming to 2 degrees C above pre-industrial levels. Although this literature acknowledges that action on long-lived climate pollutants (LLCPs) such as CO2 is also required, it is not always appreciated that SLCP emissions in any given decade only have a significant impact on peak temperature under circumstances in which CO2 emissions are falling. Immediate action on SLCPs might potentially 'buy time' for adaptation by reducing near-term warming; however early SLCP reductions, compared with reductions in a future decade, do not buy time to delay reductions in CO2.

引用

页码：1021 / 1024

页数：4

共 26 条

[1] Warming caused by cumulative carbon emissions towards the trillionth tonne [J].

Allen, Myles R. ;

Frame, David J. ;

Huntingford, Chris ;

Jones, Chris D. ;

Lowe, Jason A. ;

Meinshausen, Malte ;

Meinshausen, Nicolai .

NATURE, 2009, 458 (7242) :1163-1166

[2] Bounding the role of black carbon in the climate system: A scientific assessment [J].

Bond, T. C. ;

Doherty, S. J. ;

Fahey, D. W. ;

Forster, P. M. ;

Berntsen, T. ;

DeAngelo, B. J. ;

Flanner, M. G. ;

Ghan, S. ;

Kaercher, B. ;

Koch, D. ;

Kinne, S. ;

Kondo, Y. ;

Quinn, P. K. ;

Sarofim, M. C. ;

Schultz, M. G. ;

Schulz, M. ;

Venkataraman, C. ;

Zhang, H. ;

Zhang, S. ;

Bellouin, N. ;

Guttikunda, S. K. ;

Hopke, P. K. ;

Jacobson, M. Z. ;

Kaiser, J. W. ;

Klimont, Z. ;

Lohmann, U. ;

Schwarz, J. P. ;

Shindell, D. ;

Storelvmo, T. ;

Warren, S. G. ;

Zender, C. S. .

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2013, 118 (11) :5380-5552

[3] Cumulative carbon emissions, emissions floors and short-term rates of warming: implications for policy [J].

Bowerman, Niel H. A. ;

Frame, David J. ;

Huntingford, Chris ;

Lowe, Jason A. ;

Allen, Myles R. .

PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES, 2011, 369 (1934) :45-66

[4] Update on CO2 emissions [J].

Friedlingstein, P. ;

Houghton, R. A. ;

Marland, G. ;

Hackler, J. ;

Boden, T. A. ;

Conway, T. J. ;

Canadell, J. G. ;

Raupach, M. R. ;

Ciais, P. ;

Le Quere, C. .

NATURE GEOSCIENCE, 2010, 3 (12) :811-812

[5] Global warming potentials and radiative efficiencies of halocarbons and related compounds: A comprehensive review [J].

Hodnebrog, O. ;

Etminan, M. ;

Fuglestvedt, J. S. ;

Marston, G. ;

Myhre, G. ;

Nielsen, C. J. ;

Shine, K. P. ;

Wallington, T. J. .

REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS, 2013, 51 (02) :300-378

[6] Highly contrasting effects of different climate forcing agents on terrestrial ecosystem services [J].

Huntingford, C. ;

Cox, P. M. ;

Mercado, L. M. ;

Sitch, S. ;

Bellouin, N. ;

Boucher, O. ;

Gedney, N. .

PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES, 2011, 369 (1943) :2026-2037

[7] The link between a global 2°C warming threshold and emissions in years 2020, 2050 and beyond [J].

Huntingford, Chris ;

Lowe, Jason A. ;

Gohar, Laila K. ;

Bowerman, Niel H. A. ;

Allen, Myles R. ;

Raper, Sarah C. B. ;

Smith, Stephen M. .

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2012, 7 (01)

[8] The record breaking global temperatures of 1997 and 1998: Evidence for an increase in the rate of global warming? [J].

Karl, TR ;

Knight, RW ;

Baker, B .

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2000, 27 (05) :719-722

[9]

Keohane R.O., 2010, The Regime Complex for Climate Change

[10]

Meehl GA, 2007, AR4 CLIMATE CHANGE 2007: THE PHYSICAL SCIENCE BASIS, P747

← 1 2 3 →