Analysis on market deployment of photovoltaics in Japan by using energy system model MARKAL

被引：24

作者：

Endo, Eiichi

Ichinohe, Masayuki

机构：

[1] Natl Inst Adv Ind Sci & Technol, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058569, Japan

[2] Hitachi Ltd, Prod Engn Res Lab, Yokohama, Kanagawa 2440817, Japan

来源：

SOLAR ENERGY MATERIALS AND SOLAR CELLS | 2006年 / 90卷 / 18-19期

关键词：

photovoltaics; energy systems analysis; MARKAL; carbon tax; buyback;

D O I：

10.1016/j.solmat.2006.06.049

中图分类号：

TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];

学科分类号：

0807 ; 0820 ;

摘要：

The purpose of this paper is to make clear the conditions which can achieve the target for PV capacity attaining goal of PV system sales price assuming carbon tax and buyback in Japan. Based on the results of analysis, under expected carbon tax, PV needs subsidy for a while even if we consider both avoided cost and Green Credit. For attaining the target in 2010, PV needs more expensive buyback than that at present. After 2010 necessary subsidy decreases gradually and it becomes unnecessary in 2030. Annual income of the expected carbon tax can sufficiently cover the estimated annual subsidy. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：3061 / 3067

页数：7