What do we mean by prediction in language comprehension?

被引:669
作者
Kuperberg, Gina R. [1 ,2 ,3 ,4 ]
Jaeger, T. Florian [5 ,6 ,7 ]
机构
[1] Tufts Univ, Dept Psychol, Medford, MA 02155 USA
[2] Tufts Univ, Ctr Cognit Sci, Medford, MA 02155 USA
[3] Harvard Univ, Sch Med, Massachusetts Gen Hosp, Dept Psychiat, Charlestown, MA USA
[4] Harvard Univ, Sch Med, Athinoula A Martinos Ctr Biomed Imaging, Massachusetts Gen Hosp, Charlestown, MA USA
[5] Univ Rochester, Dept Brain & Cognit Sci, Rochester, MA USA
[6] Univ Rochester, Dept Comp Sci, Rochester, MA USA
[7] Univ Rochester, Dept Linguist, Rochester, MA USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
Language comprehension; prediction error; generative model; probabilistic; surprisal; THEMATIC ROLE-ASSIGNMENT; SPOKEN WORD RECOGNITION; PARAFOVEAL VISUAL INFORMATION; INTERACTIVE ACTIVATION MODEL; EYE-MOVEMENTS; SENTENCE COMPREHENSION; PROBABILISTIC MODELS; TIME-COURSE; SEMANTIC RELATEDNESS; REFERENTIAL DOMAINS;
D O I
10.1080/23273798.2015.1102299
中图分类号
R36 [病理学]; R76 [耳鼻咽喉科学];
学科分类号
100104 ; 100213 ;
摘要
We consider several key aspects of prediction in language comprehension: its computational nature, the representational level(s) at which we predict, whether we use higher-level representations to predictively pre-activate lower level representations, and whether we commit in any way to our predictions, beyond pre-activation. We argue that the bulk of behavioural and neural evidence suggests that we predict probabilistically and at multiple levels and grains of representation. We also argue that we can, in principle, use higher-level inferences to predictively pre-activate information at multiple lower representational levels. We suggest that the degree and level of predictive pre-activation might be a function of its expected utility, which, in turn, may depend on comprehenders' goals and their estimates of the relative reliability of their prior knowledge and the bottom-up input. Finally, we argue that all these properties of language understanding can be naturally explained and productively explored within a multi-representational hierarchical actively generative architecture whose goal is to infer the message intended by the producer, and in which predictions play a crucial role in explaining the bottom-up input.
引用
收藏
页码:32 / 59
页数:28
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