In this work, a hybrid system for wind power ramps events prediction in wind farms is proposed. The system is based on modelling the prediction problem as a binary classification problem from atmospheric reanalysis data inputs. On the other hand, a hybrid neuro-evolutive algorithm is proposed, which combines Artificial Neuronal Networks such as Extreme Learning Machines, with evolutionary algorithms to optimize the trained models. The phenomenon under study occurs with a very low probability, for this reason the problem is so unbalanced, and it is necessary to resort to techniques focused on obtain good results by means of a reduction of the samples from the majority class, as the SMOTE approach. A feature selection is performed by the evolutionary algorithm in order to choose the best trained model. Finally, this model is evaluated by a test set and its accuracy performance is given. The accuracy obtained in the results is quite good in terms of classification performance.
机构:
Department of Computer Science and Engineering, ENB 118, University of South Florida, 4202 E. Fowler Ave, Tampa, FL 33620-5399, United StatesDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, ENB 118, University of South Florida, 4202 E. Fowler Ave, Tampa, FL 33620-5399, United States
Chawla, Nitesh V.
;
Bowyer, Kevin W.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Department of Computer Science and Engineering, 384 Fitzpatrick Hall, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, United StatesDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, ENB 118, University of South Florida, 4202 E. Fowler Ave, Tampa, FL 33620-5399, United States
Bowyer, Kevin W.
;
Hall, Lawrence O.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Department of Computer Science and Engineering, ENB 118, University of South Florida, 4202 E. Fowler Ave, Tampa, FL 33620-5399, United StatesDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, ENB 118, University of South Florida, 4202 E. Fowler Ave, Tampa, FL 33620-5399, United States
Hall, Lawrence O.
;
Kegelmeyer, W. Philip
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Sandia National Laboratories, Biosystems Research Department, MS 9951, P.O. Box 969, Livermore, CA, United StatesDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, ENB 118, University of South Florida, 4202 E. Fowler Ave, Tampa, FL 33620-5399, United States
机构:
European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, EnglandEuropean Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Dee, D. P.
;
Uppala, S. M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Uppala, S. M.
;
Simmons, A. J.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Simmons, A. J.
;
Berrisford, P.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Berrisford, P.
;
Poli, P.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Poli, P.
;
Kobayashi, S.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Japan Meteorol Agcy, Tokyo, JapanEuropean Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Kobayashi, S.
;
Andrae, U.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Swedish Meteorol & Hydrol Inst, S-60176 Norrkoping, SwedenEuropean Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Andrae, U.
;
Balmaseda, M. A.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Balmaseda, M. A.
;
Balsamo, G.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Balsamo, G.
;
Bauer, P.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Bauer, P.
;
Bechtold, P.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Bechtold, P.
;
Beljaars, A. C. M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Beljaars, A. C. M.
;
van de Berg, L.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
European Org Exploitat Meteorol Satellites, Darmstadt, GermanyEuropean Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
van de Berg, L.
;
Bidlot, J.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Bidlot, J.
;
Bormann, N.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Bormann, N.
;
Delsol, C.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Delsol, C.
;
Dragani, R.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Dragani, R.
;
Fuentes, M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Fuentes, M.
;
Geer, A. J.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Geer, A. J.
;
Haimberger, L.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Vienna, Dept Meteorol & Geophys, A-1010 Vienna, AustriaEuropean Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Haimberger, L.
;
Healy, S. B.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Healy, S. B.
;
Hersbach, H.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Hersbach, H.
;
Holm, E. V.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Holm, E. V.
;
Isaksen, L.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Isaksen, L.
;
Kallberg, P.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Swedish Meteorol & Hydrol Inst, S-60176 Norrkoping, SwedenEuropean Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Kallberg, P.
;
Koehler, M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Koehler, M.
;
Matricardi, M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Matricardi, M.
;
McNally, A. P.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
McNally, A. P.
;
Monge-Sanz, B. M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, EnglandEuropean Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Monge-Sanz, B. M.
;
Morcrette, J. -J.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Morcrette, J. -J.
;
Park, B. -K.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Korea Meteorol Adm, Seoul, South KoreaEuropean Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Park, B. -K.
;
Peubey, C.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Peubey, C.
;
de Rosnay, P.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
de Rosnay, P.
;
Tavolato, C.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Vienna, Dept Meteorol & Geophys, A-1010 Vienna, AustriaEuropean Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Tavolato, C.
;
Thepaut, J. -N.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Thepaut, J. -N.
;
Vitart, F.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
机构:
Department of Computer Science and Engineering, ENB 118, University of South Florida, 4202 E. Fowler Ave, Tampa, FL 33620-5399, United StatesDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, ENB 118, University of South Florida, 4202 E. Fowler Ave, Tampa, FL 33620-5399, United States
Chawla, Nitesh V.
;
Bowyer, Kevin W.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Department of Computer Science and Engineering, 384 Fitzpatrick Hall, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, United StatesDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, ENB 118, University of South Florida, 4202 E. Fowler Ave, Tampa, FL 33620-5399, United States
Bowyer, Kevin W.
;
Hall, Lawrence O.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Department of Computer Science and Engineering, ENB 118, University of South Florida, 4202 E. Fowler Ave, Tampa, FL 33620-5399, United StatesDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, ENB 118, University of South Florida, 4202 E. Fowler Ave, Tampa, FL 33620-5399, United States
Hall, Lawrence O.
;
Kegelmeyer, W. Philip
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Sandia National Laboratories, Biosystems Research Department, MS 9951, P.O. Box 969, Livermore, CA, United StatesDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, ENB 118, University of South Florida, 4202 E. Fowler Ave, Tampa, FL 33620-5399, United States
机构:
European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, EnglandEuropean Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Dee, D. P.
;
Uppala, S. M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Uppala, S. M.
;
Simmons, A. J.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Simmons, A. J.
;
Berrisford, P.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Berrisford, P.
;
Poli, P.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Poli, P.
;
Kobayashi, S.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Japan Meteorol Agcy, Tokyo, JapanEuropean Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Kobayashi, S.
;
Andrae, U.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Swedish Meteorol & Hydrol Inst, S-60176 Norrkoping, SwedenEuropean Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Andrae, U.
;
Balmaseda, M. A.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Balmaseda, M. A.
;
Balsamo, G.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Balsamo, G.
;
Bauer, P.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Bauer, P.
;
Bechtold, P.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Bechtold, P.
;
Beljaars, A. C. M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Beljaars, A. C. M.
;
van de Berg, L.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
European Org Exploitat Meteorol Satellites, Darmstadt, GermanyEuropean Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
van de Berg, L.
;
Bidlot, J.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Bidlot, J.
;
Bormann, N.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Bormann, N.
;
Delsol, C.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Delsol, C.
;
Dragani, R.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Dragani, R.
;
Fuentes, M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Fuentes, M.
;
Geer, A. J.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Geer, A. J.
;
Haimberger, L.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Vienna, Dept Meteorol & Geophys, A-1010 Vienna, AustriaEuropean Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Haimberger, L.
;
Healy, S. B.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Healy, S. B.
;
Hersbach, H.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Hersbach, H.
;
Holm, E. V.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Holm, E. V.
;
Isaksen, L.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Isaksen, L.
;
Kallberg, P.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Swedish Meteorol & Hydrol Inst, S-60176 Norrkoping, SwedenEuropean Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Kallberg, P.
;
Koehler, M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Koehler, M.
;
Matricardi, M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Matricardi, M.
;
McNally, A. P.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
McNally, A. P.
;
Monge-Sanz, B. M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, EnglandEuropean Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Monge-Sanz, B. M.
;
Morcrette, J. -J.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Morcrette, J. -J.
;
Park, B. -K.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Korea Meteorol Adm, Seoul, South KoreaEuropean Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Park, B. -K.
;
Peubey, C.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Peubey, C.
;
de Rosnay, P.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
de Rosnay, P.
;
Tavolato, C.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Vienna, Dept Meteorol & Geophys, A-1010 Vienna, AustriaEuropean Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Tavolato, C.
;
Thepaut, J. -N.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
Thepaut, J. -N.
;
Vitart, F.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England