Analysis on shock effect of China's high-speed railway on aviation transport

被引:57
作者
Chai, Jian [1 ]
Zhou, Youhong [2 ]
Zhou, Xiaoyang [2 ]
Wang, Shouyang [3 ]
Zhang, Zhe George [4 ]
Liu, Zenghui [4 ]
机构
[1] Xidian Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Xian 710126, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
[2] Shaanxi Normal Univ, Int Business Sch, 620 Guo Du Town,West Changan Ave, Xian 710119, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
[3] Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
[4] Western Washington Univ, Coll Business & Econ, 516 High St, Bellingham, WA 98225 USA
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
China's high-speed railway; Aviation transport; Aviation mileage; Panel threshold regression model; INFERENCE; VALUES; IMPACT;
D O I
10.1016/j.tra.2017.12.001
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
As China's high-speed railway featured by low-carbon quick prospers rapidly, railway transport has been regarded as a crucial means to replace the aviation transport. Selecting the data from 156 routes of China's 48 major cities from 2001 to 2014, the paper takes the aviation mileage as the threshold variable and the operation time as the control variable to build a panel threshold regression model. Firstly, under the consideration of the economic, demographic, environmental and railway indicators, the paper analyzes the influence of China's railway on the aviation passenger volume and the flight number; secondly, under the condition that the railway speed is more than 250 km/h, the paper analyzes the shock effect of China's high-speed railway on aviation transport. The conclusion shows that the higher the level of the economic development is, the more developed the aviation transport of the region will be. when the aviation mileage is below 1132 km, as the aviation mileage increases, the influence of China's railway to the aviation transport fall into a decline; China's high-speed railway has a positive shock effect on the aviation transport, and the shock effect reaches the maximum when the aviation mileage is from 650 to 755 km. This paper is of great practical significance to study the optimization of transportation structure.
引用
收藏
页码:35 / 44
页数:10
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