Globalization and the shifting centers of gravity of world's human dynamics: Implications for sustainability

被引:92
作者
Balsa-Barreiro, Jose [1 ]
Li, Yingcheng [2 ,3 ]
Morales, Alfredo [1 ,4 ]
Pentland, Alex Sandy [1 ]
机构
[1] MIT, Media Lab, 75 Amherst St, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
[2] Southeast Univ, Sch Architecture, Nanjing 210096, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
[3] MIT, Dept Urban Studies & Planning, 105 Massachusetts Ave, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
[4] New England Complex Syst Inst, 277 Broadway, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
关键词
Center of gravity; Economic geography; Geographic information system; Globalization; World development; Human dynamics; ECONOMIC-GROWTH; ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT; DEVELOPING-COUNTRIES; ENERGY EFFICIENCY; CHINA; POLYCENTRICITY; URBANIZATION; CONSUMPTION; POPULATION;
D O I
10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.117923
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
World's human dynamics can be parameterized with metrics that explain the current model of economic growth and its sustainability. Changes in the world's human dynamics are crucial for understanding the current state of the world, which is faced with increasing challenges related to globalization. In this paper, we propose to analyze the shifting locations of centers of gravity of four basic global indicators (these are Gross Domestic Product, carbon dioxide emissions, population, and urban population) for the period 1960-2016. The spatial locations of the respective centers of gravity (one per year) draw some traces that explain, at least partially, relevant changes on different world's human dynamics at a global level. These traces and dynamics are further discussed. In addition, these traces are fundamental for predicting upcoming trends for the next few years. Results shown here may help political leaders and policymakers for solving upcoming and future global challenges related to the current economic system and its impact on the environment. (C) 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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页数:17
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