Invited review: Learning from the future-A vision for dairy farms and cows in 2067

被引:145
作者
Britt, J. H. [1 ]
Cushman, R. A. [2 ]
Dechow, C. D. [3 ]
Dobson, H. [4 ]
Humblot, P. [5 ]
Hutjens, M. F. [6 ]
Jones, G. A. [7 ]
Ruegg, P. S. [8 ]
Sheldon, I. M. [9 ]
Stevenson, J. S. [10 ]
机构
[1] North Carolina State Univ, Dept Anim Sci, Raleigh, NC 27695 USA
[2] ARS, USDA, US Meat Anim Res Ctr, Clay Ctr, NE 68933 USA
[3] Penn State Univ, Dept Anim Sci, University Pk, PA 16802 USA
[4] Univ Liverpool, Sch Vet Sci, Neston CH64 7TE, England
[5] Swedish Univ Agr Sci, Dept Clin Sci, S-75007 Uppsala, Sweden
[6] Univ Illinois, Dept Anim Sci, Urbana, IL 61801 USA
[7] Cent Sands Dairy, De Pere, WI 54115 USA
[8] Michigan State Univ, Dept Anim Sci, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA
[9] Swansea Univ, Med Sch, Swansea SA2 8PP, W Glam, Wales
[10] Kansas State Univ, Dept Anim Sci & Ind, Manhattan, KS 66506 USA
关键词
dairy; future; technology; management; FOLLICLES GREATER-THAN-OR-EQUAL-TO-3 MM; LACTATING HOLSTEIN COWS; GENOMIC SELECTION; REPRODUCTIVE-PERFORMANCE; MILK-PRODUCTION; CLIMATE-CHANGE; BODY-WEIGHT; CATTLE; NUTRITION; OVARIAN;
D O I
10.3168/jds.2017-14025
中图分类号
S8 [畜牧、 动物医学、狩猎、蚕、蜂];
学科分类号
0905 ;
摘要
The world's population will reach 10.4 billion in 2067 with 81% residing in Africa or Asia. Arable land available for food production will decrease to 0.15 ha per person. Temperature will increase in tropical and temperate zones, especially in the Northern Hemisphere, and this will push growing seasons and dairy farming away from arid areas and into more northern latitudes. Dairy consumption will increase because it provides essential nutrients more efficiently than many other agricultural systems. Dairy farming will become modernized in developing countries and milk production per cow will increase, doubling in countries with advanced dairying systems. Profitability of dairy farms will be the key to their sustainability. Genetic improvements will include emphasis on the coding genome and associated noncoding epigenome of cattle, and on microbiomes of dairy cattle and farmsteads. Farm sizes will increase and there will be greater lateral integration of housing and management of dairy cattle of different ages and production stages. Integrated sensors, robotics, and automation will replace much of the manual labor on farms. Managing the epigenome and microbiome will become part of routine herd management. Innovations in dairy facilities will improve the health of cows and permit expression of natural behaviors. Herds will be viewed as superorganisms, and studies of herds as observational units will lead to improvements in productivity, health, and well-being of dairy cattle, and improve the agroecology and sustainability of dairy farms. Dairy farmers in 2067 will meet the world's needs for essential nutrients by adopting technologies and practices that provide improved cow health and longevity, profitable dairy farms, and sustainable agriculture.
引用
收藏
页码:3722 / 3741
页数:20
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