Hazard estimation of Kashmir Basin, NW Himalaya using probabilistic seismic hazard assessment

This study presents hazard estimation of Kashmir Basin, NW Himalaya using regional ground motion relations, representing one of the most seismically active region in the Himalayan belt. Fault-level seismic recurrence parameters are determined from an updated earthquake catalogue spanning from 25 to 2018 AD for all possible seismic sources. The estimated hazard maps are presented for three ground motion parameters (PGA, short and long period spectral acceleration) for 50, 100, 500 and 2500 years return periods. Moreover, uniform hazard response spectrums and hazard curves are presented for all ten districts of the basin. The southern section of the basin consisting districts of Budgam, Shopian, Pulwama and Kulgam show higher hazard levels due to presence of numerous seismogenic structures in close vicinity. Our results highlight that the imposed seismic hazard in Kashmir basin is highly underestimated which need to be redressed by modifying the current provisional design standards.