Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions

被引：0

作者：

Smith, Pete ^{[1
]}

Davis, Steven J. ^{[2
]}

Creutzig, Felix ^{[3
,4
]}

Fuss, Sabine ^{[3
]}

Minx, Jan ^{[3
,5
,6
]}

Gabrielle, Benoit ^{[7
,8
]}

Kato, Etsushi ^{[9
]}

Jackson, Robert B. ^{[10
,11
]}

Cowie, Annette ^{[12
]}

Kriegler, Elmar ^{[5
]}

van Vuuren, Detlef P. ^{[13
,14
]}

Rogelj, Joeri ^{[15
,16
]}

Ciais, Philippe ^{[17
]}

Milne, Jennifer ^{[18
]}

Canadell, Josep G. ^{[19
]}

McCollum, David ^{[16
]}

Peters, Glen ^{[20
]}

Andrew, Robbie ^{[20
]}

Krey, Volker ^{[16
]}

Shrestha, Gyami ^{[21
]}

Friedlingstein, Pierre ^{[22
]}

Gasser, Thomas ^{[17
,23
]}

Gruebler, Arnulf ^{[16
]}

Heidug, Wolfgang K. ^{[24
]}

Jonas, Matthias ^{[16
]}

Jones, Chris D. ^{[25
]}

Kraxner, Florian ^{[16
]}

Littleton, Emma ^{[26
]}

Lowe, Jason ^{[25
]}

Moreira, Jose Roberto ^{[27
]}

Nakicenovic, Nebojsa ^{[16
]}

Obersteiner, Michael ^{[16
]}

Patwardhan, Anand ^{[28
]}

Rogner, Mathis ^{[16
]}

Rubin, Ed ^{[29
]}

Sharifi, Ayyoob ^{[30
]}

Torvanger, Asbjorn ^{[20
]}

Yamagata, Yoshiki ^{[31
]}

Edmonds, Jae ^{[32
]}

Cho, Yongsung ^{[33
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Aberdeen, Inst Environm & Biol Sci, Aberdeen AB24 3UU, Scotland

[2] Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Irvine, CA 92697 USA

[3] Mercator Res Inst Global Commons & Climate Change, D-10829 Berlin, Germany

[4] Tech Univ Berlin, D-10623 Berlin, Germany

[5] Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany

[6] Hertie Sch Governance, D-10117 Berlin, Germany

[7] AgroParisTech, ECOSYS UMR1402, F-78850 Thiverval Grignon, France

[8] Natl Rech Agron INRA, Environm & Arable Crops Res Unit, ECOSYS UMR1402, F-78850 Thiverval Grignon, France

[9] Inst Appl Energy, Minato Ku, Tokyo 1050003, Japan

[10] Stanford Univ, Woods Inst Environm, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Stanford, CA 94305 USA

[11] Stanford Univ, Precourt Inst Energy, Stanford, CA 94305 USA

[12] Univ New England, NSW Dept Primary Ind, Armidale, NSW 2351, Australia

[13] Univ Utrecht, Dept Environm Sci, Copernicus Inst Sustainable Dev, NL-3584 CS Utrecht, Netherlands

[14] PBL Netherlands Environm Assessment Agcy, NL-3720 AH Bilthoven, Netherlands

[15] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland

[16] Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria

[17] CEA Orme Merisiers, CEA CNRS UVSQ, Inst Pierre Simon Laplace, Lab Sci Climat & Environm, F-91191 Gif Sur Yvette, France

[18] Stanford Univ, Stanford, CA 94305 USA

[19] CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere Res, Global Carbon Project, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia

[20] Ctr Int Climate & Environm Res Oslo, N-0349 Oslo, Norway

[21] US Global Change Res Program, US Carbon Cycle Sci Program, Washington, DC 20006 USA

[22] Univ Exeter, Exeter EX4 4QF, Devon, England

[23] CNRS PontsParisTech EHESS AgroParisTech CIRAD, Ctr Int Rech Environm & Dev, F-94736 Nogent Sur Marne, France

[24] King Abdullah Petr Studies & Res Ctr, Riyadh 11672, Saudi Arabia

[25] Met Off, Hadley Ctr, Exeter EX1 3PB, Devon, England

[26] Univ E Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England

[27] Univ Sao Paulo, Inst Energy & Environm, BR-05508010 Sao Paulo, Brazil

[28] Univ Maryland, Sch Publ Policy, College Pk, MD 20742 USA

[29] Carnegie Mellon Univ, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA

[30] NIES, Global Carbon Project, Tsukuba Int Off, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058506, Japan

[31] Natl Inst Environm Studies, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058506, Japan

[32] Pacific NW Natl Lab, Joint Global Change Res Inst, College Pk, MD 20740 USA

[33] Korea Univ, Seoul 136701, South Korea

来源：

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE | 2016年 / 6卷 / 01期

基金：

美国国家科学基金会;

关键词：

GREENHOUSE-GAS MITIGATION; CLIMATE-CHANGE; LAND-USE; CARBON-DIOXIDE; HUMAN APPROPRIATION; FOOD SECURITY; ENERGY; BIOENERGY; CAPTURE; IMPACTS;

D O I：

10.1038/NCLIMATE2870

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

To have a >50% chance of limiting warming below 2 degrees C, most recent scenarios from integrated assessment models (IAMs) require large-scale deployment of negative emissions technologies (NETs). These are technologies that result in the net removal of greenhouse gases from the atmosphere. We quantify potential global impacts of the different NETs on various factors (such as land, greenhouse gas emissions, water, albedo, nutrients and energy) to determine the biophysical limits to, and economic costs of, their widespread application. Resource implications vary between technologies and need to be satisfactorily addressed if NETs are to have a significant role in achieving climate goals.

引用

页码：42 / 50

页数：9

共 94 条

[1] [Anonymous], GLOBAL ENERGY ASSESS
[2] Arora VK, 2011, NAT GEOSCI, V4, P514, DOI [10.1038/ngeo1182, 10.1038/NGEO1182]
[3] The feasibility of low CO2 concentration targets and the role of bio-energy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS)
Azar, Christian
Lindgren, Kristian
Obersteiner, Michael
Riahi, Keywan
van Vuuren, Detlef P.
den Elzen, K. Michel G. J.
Moellersten, Kenneth
Larson, Eric D.
[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2010, 100 (01) : 195 - 202
[4] Bajzelj B, 2014, NAT CLIM CHANGE, V4, P924, DOI [10.1038/NCLIMATE2353, 10.1038/nclimate2353]
[5] Albedo over the boreal forest
Betts, AK
Ball, JH
[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 1997, 102 (D24) : 28901 - 28909
[6] Offset of the potential carbon sink from boreal forestation by decreases in surface albedo
Betts, RA
[J]. NATURE, 2000, 408 (6809) : 187 - 190
[7] Biogeophysical effects of land use on climate: Model simulations of radiative forcing and large-scale temperature change
Betts, Richard A.
Falloon, Peter D.
Goldewijk, Kees Klein
Ramankutty, Navin
[J]. AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY, 2007, 142 (2-4) : 216 - 233
[8] Blackford J, 2014, NAT CLIM CHANGE, V4, P1011, DOI [10.1038/NCLIMATE2381, 10.1038/nclimate2381]
[9] Boden T.A., 2015, GLOBAL REGIONAL NATL
[10] Bonsch M., 2014, GLOBAL CHANGE BIOL B

← 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 →