Coronary flow velocity pattern and coronary flow reserve by contrast-enhanced transthoracic echocardiography predict long-term outcome in heart transplantation

Background-We assessed coronary flow velocity pattern and coronary flow reserve (CFR) by contrast-enhanced transthoracic echocardiography (CE-TTE) as markers of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) related to cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV) after heart transplantation (HT). Methods and Results-Deceleration time of diastolic flow velocity (DDT) and CFR were measured in the left anterior descending coronary artery (LAD) by CE-TTE in 66 consecutive HT patients (follow-up 19 +/- 5 months). CFR was calculated as the ratio of hyperemic to basal diastolic flow velocity. Angiographies were analyzed by a qualitative grading system; CAV was defined as changes grade II or higher. MACE were cardiac death, stent implantation, and heart failure. Patients with MACE had higher CAV incidence (P=0.004) and grade (P=0.008), shorter DDT (P=0.006), and lower CFR (P=0.008). A receiver-operating characteristic-derived DDT cutpoint <= 840 ms (area under the curve 0.793; P=0.01) was 75% specific and 86% sensitive for predicting MACE, with positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) of 33% and 97%, respectively (P=0.002). A CFR cutpoint of <= 2.6 (area under the curve 0.746; P=0.01) was 62% specific and 91% sensitive for predicting MACE (PPV=32%, NPV=97%) (P=0.001). Patients with CFR <= 2.6 and patients with DDT <= 840 ms had a lower survival free from MACE (P=0.006 and P=0.009, respectively). By Cox regression, only a lower CFR predicted the risk of MACE (relative risk 3.1; 95% CI, 1.26 to 7.9; P=0.01). Conclusions-In HT patients, shorter DDT and lower CFR by CE-TTE are reliable markers for CAV-related MACE. CFR is the main independent predictor of MACE.