The Potential of Photovoltaics to Power the Belt and Road Initiative

被引：102

作者：

Chen, Shi ^{[1
]}

Lu, Xi ^{[1
]}

Miao, Yufei ^{[2
]}

Deng, Yu ^{[3
]}

Nielsen, Chris P. ^{[4
]}

Elbot, Noah ^{[5
]}

Wang, Yuanchen ^{[1
]}

Logan, Kathryn G. ^{[6
]}

McElroy, Michael B. ^{[7
]}

Hao, Jiming ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Tsinghua Univ, Sch Environm, State Key Joint Lab Environm Simulat & Pollut Con, Beijing, Peoples R China

[2] Stanford Univ, Civil & Environm Engn, Palo Alto, CA 94304 USA

[3] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China

[4] Harvard Univ, Harvard John A Paulson Sch Engn & Appl Sci, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA

[5] Tsinghua Univ, Schwarzman Coll, Beijing, Peoples R China

[6] Univ Aberdeen, Sch Biol Sci, Inst Biol & Environm Sci, Aberdeen, Scotland

[7] Harvard Univ, Dept Earth & Planetary Sci, 20 Oxford St, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA

来源：

JOULE | 2019年 / 3卷 / 08期

基金：

英国自然环境研究理事会; 中国国家自然科学基金;

关键词：

SOLAR PV; TILT ANGLE; PANELS; WIND; GIS; ENERGY; VIABILITY; INFRASTRUCTURE; TRANSMISSION; PERFORMANCE;

D O I：

10.1016/j.joule.2019.06.006

中图分类号：

O64 [物理化学（理论化学）、化学物理学];

学科分类号：

070304 ; 081704 ;

摘要：

Construction of carbon-intensive energy infrastructure is well underway under the Belt & Road Initiative (BRI), challenging the global climate target. Regionally abundant solar power could provide an alternative for electricity generation. An integrative spatial model was developed to evaluate the technical potential of solar photovoltaic power. The influence of impacting factors was quantified systematically on an hourly basis. Results suggest that the electricity potential for the BRI region reaches 448.9 PWh annually, 41.3 times the regional demand for electricity in 2016. Tapping 3.7% of the potential through deploying 7.8 TW capacity could satisfy the regional electricity demand projected for 2030, requiring an investment of approximately 11.2 trillion 2017 USD and a commitment in land area of 88,426 km(2), approximately 0.9% of China's total. Countries endowed with 70.7% of the overall potential consume only 30.1% of regional electricity. The imbalance underscores the advantage of regional cooperation and investments in interconnected grids.

引用

页码：1895 / 1912

页数：18

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