The Application of Monte Carlo Simulation in Present Earning Value Method ---Case Study of a Medium Hydropower Station

被引：0

作者：

Zhang, Ailan ^{[1
]}

Wang, Songjiang ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Kunming Univ Sci & Technol, Kunming, Peoples R China

来源：

THERMAL, POWER AND ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING, PTS 1 AND 2 | 2013年 / 732-733卷

关键词：

asset assessment; present earning value method; Monte Carlo method; Crystal Ball;

D O I：

10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.732-733.731

中图分类号：

TU [建筑科学];

学科分类号：

0813 ;

摘要：

Processing the parameters overly simplistic will leave space for overestimating or underestimating artificially when we assess the assets of Medium and small hydropower stations using present earning value method. And absolute assumptions often affect the adequacy of the assessment results, also the persuasive and credibility. Monte Carlo simulation can determine the wave of parameters in present earning value method, so as to improve the persuasion and credibility of assessment results and reduce the personnel control.

引用

页码：731 / 737

页数：7