Hourly performance forecast of a dew point cooler using explainable Artificial Intelligence and evolutionary optimisations by 2050

被引:45
作者
Akhlaghi, Yousef Golizadeh [1 ]
Aslansefat, Koorosh [2 ]
Zhao, Xudong [1 ]
Sadati, Saba [3 ]
Badiei, Ali [1 ]
Xiao, Xin [1 ]
Shittu, Samson [1 ]
Fan, Yi [1 ]
Ma, Xiaoli [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Hull, Ctr Sustainable Energy Technol, Energy & Environm Inst, Kingston Upon Hull HU6 7RX, N Humberside, England
[2] Univ Hull, Dept Comp Sci, Kingston Upon Hull HU6 7RX, N Humberside, England
[3] Univ Manchester, Sch Mech Aerosp & Civil Engn, Manchester M13 9PL, Lancs, England
基金
英国工程与自然科学研究理事会; 欧盟地平线“2020”; 国家重点研发计划;
关键词
Dew point cooler; Multi objective evolutionary optimization; Particle Swarm Optimization; Slime Mould Algorithm; Artificial Intelligence; ENERGY PERFORMANCE; PREDICTION; ALGORITHMS; STRATEGY; MODELS; HEAT;
D O I
10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.116062
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
The empirical success of the Artificial Intelligence (AI), has enhanced importance of the transparency in black box Machine Learning (ML) models. This study pioneers in developing an explainable and interpretable Deep Neural Network (DNN) model for a Guideless Irregular Dew Point Cooler (GIDPC). The game theory based SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method is used to interpret contribution of the operating conditions on performance parameters. Furthermore, in a response to the endeavours in developing more efficient meta-heuristic optimisation algorithms for the energy systems, two Evolutionary Optimisation (EO) algorithms including a novel bio-inspired algorithm i.e., Slime Mould Algorithm (SMA), and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), are employed to simultaneously maximise the cooling efficiency and minimise the construction cost of the GIDPC. Additionally, performance of the optimised GIDPCs are compared in both statistical and deterministic way. The comparisons are carried out in diverse climates in 2020 and 2050 in which the hourly future weather data are projected using a high-emission scenario defined by Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC). The results revealed that the hourly COP of the optimised systems outperform the base design. Although power consumption of all systems increases from 2020 to 2050, owing to more operating hours as a result of global warming, but power savings of up to 72%, 69.49%, 63.24%, and 69.21% in hot summer continental, Arid, tropical rainforest and Mediterranean hot summer climates respectively, can be achieved when the systems run optimally.
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页数:18
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