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Comparative Analysis of Eleven Healthcare-Associated Outbreaks of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (Mers-Cov) from 2015 to 2017
被引:27
作者:
Bernard-Stoecklin, Sibylle
[1
,2
]
Nikolay, Birgit
[3
]
Assiri, Abdullah
[4
]
Bin Saeed, Abdul Aziz
[4
,5
]
Ben Embarek, Peter Karim
[6
]
El Bushra, Hassan
[4
]
Ki, Moran
[7
]
Malik, Mamunur Rahman
[8
]
Fontanet, Arnaud
[9
,10
,11
]
Cauchemez, Simon
[3
]
Van Kerkhove, Maria D.
[1
,12
]
机构:
[1] Inst Pasteur, Ctr Global Hlth, Outbreak Invest Task Force, F-75015 Paris, France
[2] Sante Publ France, Direct Infect Dis, F-94410 St Maurice, France
[3] CNRS, Inst Pasteur, UMR2000, Math Modelling Infect Dis, F-75015 Paris, France
[4] Minist Hlth, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
[5] King Saud Univ, Coll Med, Dept Family & Community Med, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
[6] WHO, Dept Food Safety & Zoonoses, Int Food Safety Author Network INFOSAN Management, Geneva, Switzerland
[7] Natl Canc Ctr, Grad Sch Canc Sci & Policy, Dept Canc Control & Policy, Goyang, South Korea
[8] WHO, Reg Off Eastern Mediterranean, Dept Hlth Emergencies, Infect Hazard Management Unit, Cairo, Egypt
[9] Inst Pasteur, Emerging Dis Epidemiol Unit, F-75015 Paris, France
[10] Inst Pasteur, Ctr Global Hlth, F-75015 Paris, France
[11] Conservatoire Natl Arts & Metiers, Paris, France
[12] WHO, Hlth Emergencies Programme, Infect Hazards Management, Geneva, Switzerland
关键词:
SAUDI-ARABIA;
TRANSMISSION;
SARS;
EPIDEMIC;
DISEASE;
EVENTS;
RIYADH;
JEDDAH;
EXTENT;
D O I:
10.1038/s41598-019-43586-9
中图分类号:
O [数理科学和化学];
P [天文学、地球科学];
Q [生物科学];
N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号:
07 ;
0710 ;
09 ;
摘要:
Since its emergence in 2012, 2,260 cases and 803 deaths due to Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) have been reported to the World Health Organization. Most cases were due to transmission in healthcare settings, sometimes causing large outbreaks. We analyzed epidemiologic and clinical data of laboratory-confirmed MERS-CoV cases from eleven healthcare-associated outbreaks in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the Republic of Korea between 2015-2017. We quantified key epidemiological differences between outbreaks. Twenty-five percent (n = 105/422) of MERS cases who acquired infection in a hospital setting were healthcare personnel. In multivariate analyses, age >= 65 (OR 4.8, 95%CI: 2.6-8.7) and the presence of underlying comorbidities (OR: 2.7, 95%CI: 1.3-5.7) were associated with increased mortality whereas working as healthcare personnel was protective (OR 0.07, 95% CI: 0.01-0.34). At the start of these outbreaks, the reproduction number ranged from 1.0 to 5.7; it dropped below 1 within 2 to 6 weeks. This study provides a comprehensive characterization of MERS HCA-outbreaks. Our results highlight heterogeneities in the epidemiological profile of healthcare-associated outbreaks. The limitations of our study stress the urgent need for standardized data collection for high-threat respiratory pathogens, such as MERS-CoV.
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页数:9
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