EFFICIENT ESTIMATION OF INTEGRATED VOLATILITY IN PRESENCE OF INFINITE VARIATION JUMPS

被引:44
|
作者
Jacod, Jean [1 ]
Todorov, Viktor [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Paris 06, CNRS, UMR 7586, Inst Math Jussieu, F-75252 Paris 05, France
[2] Northwestern Univ, Dept Finance, Evanston, IL 60208 USA
来源
ANNALS OF STATISTICS | 2014年 / 42卷 / 03期
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
Quadratic variation; Ito semimartingale; integrated volatility; central limit theorem; LIMIT-THEOREMS;
D O I
10.1214/14-AOS1213
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an Ito semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the optimal rate and variance of estimating integrated volatility even in the presence of infinite variation jumps when the latter are stochastic integrals with respect to locally "stable" Levy processes, that is, processes whose Levy measure around zero behaves like that of a stable process. On a first step, we estimate locally volatility from the empirical characteristic function of the increments of the process over blocks of shrinking length and then we sum these estimates to form initial estimators of the integrated volatility. The estimators contain bias when jumps of infinite variation are present, and on a second step we estimate and remove this bias by using integrated volatility estimators formed from the empirical characteristic function of the high-frequency increments for different values of its argument. The second step debiased estimators achieve efficiency and we derive a feasible central limit theorem for them.
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页码:1029 / 1069
页数:41
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