Jump factor models in large cross-sections

被引:8
作者
Li, Jia [1 ]
Todorov, Viktor [2 ]
Tauchen, George [1 ]
机构
[1] Duke Univ, Dept Econ, Durham, NC 27706 USA
[2] Northwestern Univ, Dept Finance, Kellogg Sch Management, Evanston, IL 60208 USA
关键词
Factor model; panel; high-frequency data; jumps; semimartingale; specification test; stochastic volatility; NUMBER; REGRESSION; PANEL;
D O I
10.3982/QE1060
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We develop tests for deciding whether a large cross-section of asset prices obey an exact factor structure at the times of factor jumps. Such jump dependence is implied by standard linear factor models. Our inference is based on a panel of asset returns with asymptotically increasing cross-sectional dimension and sampling frequency, and essentially no restriction on the relative magnitude of these two dimensions of the panel. The test is formed from the high-frequency returns at the times when the risk factors are detected to have a jump. The test statistic is a cross-sectional average of a measure of discrepancy in the estimated jump factor loadings of the assets at consecutive jump times. Under the null hypothesis, the discrepancy in the factor loadings is due to a measurement error, which shrinks with the increase of the sampling frequency, while under an alternative of a noisy jump factor model this discrepancy contains also nonvanishing firm-specific shocks. The limit behavior of the test under the null hypothesis is nonstandard and reflects the strong-dependence in the cross-section of returns as well as their heteroskedasticity which is left unspecified. We further develop estimators for assessing the magnitude of firm-specific risk in asset prices at the factor jump events. Empirical application to S&P 100 stocks provides evidence for exact one-factor structure at times of big market-wide jump events.
引用
收藏
页码:419 / 456
页数:38
相关论文
共 50 条
[31]   Posterior Consistency of Factor Dimensionality in High-Dimensional Sparse Factor Models [J].
Ohn, Ilsang ;
Kim, Yongdai .
BAYESIAN ANALYSIS, 2022, 17 (02) :491-514
[32]   Fitting jump additive models [J].
Kang, Yicheng ;
Shi, Yueyong ;
Jiao, Yuling ;
Li, Wendong ;
Xiang, Dongdong .
COMPUTATIONAL STATISTICS & DATA ANALYSIS, 2021, 162
[33]   A Comprehensive numerical study on using lobed cross-sections in spiral heat exchanger: Fluid flow and heat transfer analysis [J].
Rezaei, Arash ;
Hadibafekr, Sajed ;
Khalilian, Morteza ;
Chitsaz, Ata ;
Mirzaee, Iraj ;
Shirvani, Hassan .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF THERMAL SCIENCES, 2023, 193
[34]   Realized Laplace transforms for estimation of jump diffusive volatility models [J].
Todorov, Viktor ;
Tauchen, George ;
Grynkiv, Iaryna .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2011, 164 (02) :367-381
[35]   CBOE VIX and Jump-GARCH option pricing models [J].
Yoo, Eun Gyu ;
Yoon, Sun-Joong .
INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF ECONOMICS & FINANCE, 2020, 69 :839-859
[36]   On time-varying factor models: Estimation and testing [J].
Su, Liangjun ;
Wang, Xia .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2017, 198 (01) :84-101
[37]   Sieve estimation of state-varying factor models [J].
Su, Liangjun ;
Jin, Sainan ;
Wang, Xia .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2025, 251
[38]   A parametric estimation method for dynamic factor models of large dimensions [J].
Kapetanios, George ;
Marcellino, Massimiliano .
JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 2009, 30 (02) :208-238
[39]   Projected estimation for large-dimensional matrix factor models [J].
Yu, Long ;
He, Yong ;
Kong, Xinbing ;
Zhang, Xinsheng .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2022, 229 (01) :201-217
[40]   Modelling large dimensional datasets with Markov switching factor models [J].
Barigozzi, Matteo ;
Massacci, Daniele .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2025, 247