Multi-aspect renewable energy forecasting

被引:53
作者
Corizzo, Roberto [1 ,2 ,4 ]
Ceci, Michelangelo [2 ,3 ,4 ]
Fanaee-T, Hadi [5 ]
Gama, Joao [6 ]
机构
[1] Amer Univ, Dept Comp Sci, Washington, DC 20016 USA
[2] Univ Bari Aldo Moro, Dept Comp Sci, Bari, Italy
[3] Jozef Stefan Inst, Dept Knowledge Technol, Ljubljana 1000, Slovenia
[4] Natl Interuniv Consortium Informat CINI, Rome, Italy
[5] Halmstad Univ, Ctr Appl Intelligent Syst Res CAISR, Halmstad, Sweden
[6] Univ Porto, Fac Econ, Porto, Portugal
关键词
Time series; Forecasting; Energy; Machine learning; Multi-aspect analysis; Tensor factorization; TENSOR DECOMPOSITIONS; CLASSIFICATION; REGRESSION; SOLAR;
D O I
10.1016/j.ins.2020.08.003
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
The increasing presence of renewable energy plants has created new challenges such as grid integration, load balancing and energy trading, making it fundamental to provide effective prediction models. Recent approaches in the literature have shown that exploiting spatio-temporal autocorrelation in data coming from multiple plants can lead to better predictions. Although tensor models and techniques are suitable to deal with spatio-temporal data, they have received little attention in the energy domain. In this paper, we propose a new method based on the Tucker tensor decomposition, capable of extracting a new feature space for the learning task. For evaluation purposes, we have investigated the performance of predictive clustering trees with the new feature space, compared to the original feature space, in three renewable energy datasets. The results are favorable for the proposed method, also when compared with state-of-the-art algorithms. (C) 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:701 / 722
页数:22
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