Outbreak analytics: a developing data science for informing the response to emerging pathogens

被引:104
作者
Polonsky, Jonathan A. [1 ,3 ]
Baidjoe, Amrish [4 ]
Kamvar, Zhian N. [4 ]
Cori, Anne [4 ]
Durski, Kara [2 ]
Edmunds, W. John [5 ,6 ]
Eggo, Rosalind M. [5 ,6 ]
Funk, Sebastian [5 ,6 ]
Kaiser, Laurent [3 ]
Keating, Patrick [5 ,8 ]
de Waroux, Olivier le Polain [5 ,8 ,9 ]
Marks, Michael [7 ]
Moraga, Paula [10 ]
Morgan, Oliver [1 ]
Nouvellet, Pierre [4 ,11 ]
Ratnayake, Ruwan [5 ,6 ]
Roberts, Chrissy H. [7 ]
Whitworth, Jimmy [5 ,8 ]
Jombart, Thibaut [4 ,5 ,8 ]
机构
[1] WHO, Dept Hlth Emergency Informat & Risk Assess, Ave Appia 20, CH-1211 Geneva, Switzerland
[2] WHO, Dept Infect Hazard Management, Ave Appia 20, CH-1211 Geneva, Switzerland
[3] Univ Geneva, Fac Med, 1 Rue Michel Servet, CH-1211 Geneva, Switzerland
[4] Imperial Coll London, MRC Ctr Global Infect Dis Anal, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Infect Dis Epidemiol, Med Sch Bldg,St Marys Campus,Norfolk Pl, London W2 1PG, England
[5] London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Dept Infect Dis Epidemiol, Fac Infect & Trop Dis, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, England
[6] London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Ctr Math Modelling Infect Dis, Fac Infect & Trop Dis, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, England
[7] London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Clin Res Dept, Fac Infect & Trop Dis, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, England
[8] London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, UK Publ Hlth Rapid Support Team, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, England
[9] Publ Hlth England, Wellington House,133-155 Waterloo Rd, London SE1 8UG, England
[10] Univ Lancaster, Lancaster Med Sch, CHICAS, Lancaster LA1 4YW, England
[11] Univ Sussex, Sch Life Sci, Sussex House, Brighton BN1 9RH, E Sussex, England
基金
英国惠康基金; 英国医学研究理事会;
关键词
epidemics; infectious; methods; tools; pipeline; software; EBOLA-VIRUS DISEASE; RESPIRATORY SYNDROME CORONAVIRUS; REAL-TIME; TRANSMISSION TREES; BAYESIAN-INFERENCE; ZIKA VIRUS; EPIDEMIC; SURVEILLANCE; INFLUENZA; SPREAD;
D O I
10.1098/rstb.2018.0276
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Despite continued efforts to improve health systems worldwide, emerging pathogen epidemics remain a major public health concern. Effective response to such outbreaks relies on timely intervention, ideally informed by all available sources of data. The collection, visualization and analysis of outbreak data are becomingincreasingly complex, owingtothediversityintypes ofdata, questions and available methods to address them. Recent advances have led to the rise of outbreak analytics, an emerging data science focused on the technological and methodological aspects of the outbreak data pipeline, fromcollection to analysis, modelling and reporting to inform outbreak response. In this article, we assess the current state of the field. After laying out the context of outbreak response, we critically review the most common analytics components, their interdependencies, data requirements and the type of information they can provide to informoperations in real time. We discuss some challenges and opportunities and conclude on the potential role of outbreak analytics for improving our understanding of, and response to outbreaks of emerging pathogens. This article is part of the theme issue 'Modelling infectious disease outbreaks in humans, animals and plants: epidemic forecasting and control`. This theme issue is linked with the earlier issue 'Modelling infectious disease outbreaks in humans, animals and plants: approaches and important themes'.
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页数:11
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