A new wind power prediction method based on ridgelet transforms, hybrid feature selection and closed-loop forecasting

被引:277
作者
Leng, Hua [1 ]
Li, Xinran [1 ]
Zhu, Jiran [2 ]
Tang, Haiguo [2 ]
Zhang, Zhidan [2 ]
Ghadimi, Noradin [3 ]
机构
[1] Hunan Univ, Coll Elect & Informat Engn, Changsha 410082, Hunan, Peoples R China
[2] Elect Power Corp, Res Inst, State Grid Hunan, Changsha 410007, Hunan, Peoples R China
[3] Islamic Azad Univ, Ardabil Branch, Young Researchers & Elite Club, Ardebil, Iran
关键词
Ridgelet transform; Feature selection; Closed loop forecast engine; Wind power; NEURAL-NETWORK; ENGINE; ALGORITHM; MODEL; SPEED;
D O I
10.1016/j.aei.2018.02.006
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
To reduce network integration and boost energy trading, wind power forecasting can play an important role in power systems. Furthermore, the uncertain and nonconvex behavior of wind signals make its prediction complex. For this purpose, accurate prediction tools are needed. In this paper, a ridgelet transform is applied to a wind signal to decompose it into sub-signals. The output of ridgelet transform is considered as input of new feature selection to identify the best candidates to be used as the forecast engine input. Finally, a new hybrid closed loop forecast engine is proposed based on a neural network and an intelligent algorithm to predict the wind signal. The effectiveness of the proposed forecast model is extensively evaluated on a real-world electricity market through a comparison with well-known forecasting methods. The obtained numerical results demonstrate the validity of proposed method.
引用
收藏
页码:20 / 30
页数:11
相关论文
共 40 条
[1]   Electricity price forecast using Combinatorial Neural Network trained by a new stochastic search method [J].
Abedinia, O. ;
Amjady, N. ;
Shafie-Khah, M. ;
Catalao, J. P. S. .
ENERGY CONVERSION AND MANAGEMENT, 2015, 105 :642-654
[2]   Solar energy forecasting based on hybrid neural network and improved metaheuristic algorithm [J].
Abedinia, Oveis ;
Amjady, Nima ;
Ghadimi, Noradin .
COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE, 2018, 34 (01) :241-260
[3]   A New Feature Selection Technique for Load and Price Forecast of Electrical Power Systems [J].
Abedinia, Oveis ;
Amjady, Nima ;
Zareipour, Hamidreza .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, 2017, 32 (01) :62-74
[4]   Short-term load forecast of electrical power system by radial basis function neural network and new stochastic search algorithm [J].
Abedinia, Oveis ;
Amjady, Nima .
INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS ON ELECTRICAL ENERGY SYSTEMS, 2016, 26 (07) :1511-1525
[5]   A New Metaheuristic Algorithm Based on Shark Smell Optimization [J].
Abedinia, Oveis ;
Amjady, Nima ;
Ghasemi, Ali .
COMPLEXITY, 2016, 21 (05) :97-116
[6]  
Abedinia O, 2015, INT J PR ENG MAN-GT, V2, P245
[7]   Incorporating power system security into market-clearing of day-ahead joint energy and reserves auctions [J].
Aghaei, J. ;
Shayanfar, H. ;
Amjady, N. .
EUROPEAN TRANSACTIONS ON ELECTRICAL POWER, 2010, 20 (02) :140-156
[8]   Fuzzy stochastic long-term model with consideration of uncertainties for deployment of distributed energy resources using interactive honey bee mating optimization [J].
Ahmadian I. ;
Abedinia O. ;
Ghadimi N. .
Frontiers in Energy, 2014, 8 (04) :412-425
[9]   Extracting Appropriate Nodal Marginal Prices for All Types of Committed Reserve [J].
Akbary, Paria ;
Ghiasi, Mohammad ;
Pourkheranjani, Mohammad Reza Rezaie ;
Alipour, Hamidreza ;
Ghadimi, Noradin .
COMPUTATIONAL ECONOMICS, 2019, 53 (01) :1-26
[10]   Short-term wind power forecasting using ridgelet neural network [J].
Amjady, Nima ;
Keynia, Farshid ;
Zareipour, Hamidreza .
ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS RESEARCH, 2011, 81 (12) :2099-2107