SOME PITFALLS IN STATISTICAL DOWNSCALING OF FUTURE CLIMATE

被引：81

作者：

Lanzante, John R. ^{[1
]}

Dixon, Keith W. ^{[1
]}

Nath, Mary Jo ^{[1
]}

Whitlock, Carolyn E. ^{[1
,2
]}

Adams-Smith, Dennis ^{[1
,3
]}

机构：

[1] NOAA Geophys Fluid Dynam Lab, Princeton, NJ 08540 USA

[2] Engility Inc, Dover, NJ USA

[3] Univ Corp Atmospheric Res, CPAESS, Boulder, CO USA

来源：

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY | 2018年 / 99卷 / 04期

关键词：

TEMPERATURE EXTREMES; MODEL; PRECIPITATION; PROJECTIONS; IMPACTS; FRANCE;

D O I：

10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0046.1

中图分类号：

P4 [大气科学（气象学）];

学科分类号：

0706 ; 070601 ;

摘要：

Statistical downscaling is generally successful and used widely to refine projections of future climate, though in some circumstances it can lead to highly erroneous results. © 2018 American Meteorological Society.

引用

页码：791 / 803

页数：13

共 34 条

[1] A comparison of statistical downscaling methods suited for wildfire applications [J].

Abatzoglou, John T. ;

Brown, Timothy J. .

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2012, 32 (05) :772-780

[2] Evaluating the Time-Invariance Hypothesis of Climate Model Bias Correction: Implications for Hydrological Impact Studies [J].

Alberto Velazquez, Juan ;

Troin, Magali ;

Caya, Daniel ;

Brissette, Francois .

JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY, 2015, 16 (05) :2013-2026

[3]

[Anonymous], JACKKNIFE BOOTSTRAP, DOI DOI 10.1137/1.9781611970319

[4]

[Anonymous], 2013, NOAA State of the Coast Report Series

[5] Influence of climate model biases and daily-scale temperature and precipitation events on hydrological impacts assessment: A case study of the United States [J].

Ashfaq, Moetasim ;

Bowling, Laura C. ;

Cherkauer, Keith ;

Pal, Jeremy S. ;

Diffenbaugh, Noah S. .

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2010, 115

[6]

Benestad R., 2008, EMPIRICAL STAT DOWNS, DOI [10.1142/6908, DOI 10.1142/6908]

[7] Transferability in the future climate of a statistical downscaling method for precipitation in France [J].

Dayon, G. ;

Boe, J. ;

Martin, E. .

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2015, 120 (03) :1023-1043

[8] Frequency of precipitation and temperature extremes over France in an anthropogenic scenario:: Model results and statistical correction according to observed values [J].

Deque, Michel .

GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE, 2007, 57 (1-2) :16-26

[9] Evaluating the stationarity assumption in statistically downscaled climate projections: is past performance an indicator of future results? [J].

Dixon, Keith W. ;

Lanzante, John R. ;

Nath, Mary Jo ;

Hayhoe, Katharine ;

Stoner, Anne ;

Radhakrishnan, Aparna ;

Balaji, V. ;

Gaitan, Carlos F. .

CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2016, 135 (3-4) :395-408

[10] Comparison of GCM- and RCM-simulated precipitation following stochastic postprocessing [J].

Eden, Jonathan M. ;

Widmann, Martin ;

Maraun, Douglas ;

Vrac, Mathieu .

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2014, 119 (19) :11040-11053

← 1 2 3 4 →