Does inflation targeting affect the trade-off between output gap and inflation variability?

被引:20
作者
Arestis, P [1 ]
Caporale, GM [1 ]
Cipollini, A [1 ]
机构
[1] S Bank Univ, Ctr Monetary & Financial Econ, London SE1 0AA, England
关键词
D O I
10.1111/1467-9957.00299
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We utilize a stochastic volatility model to analyse the possible effects of inflation targeting on the trade-off between output gap variability and inflation variability. We find that the adoption of inflation targets (in New Zealand. Australia, Canada, the UK, Sweden and Finland) might result in a more favourable monetary policy trade-off (except in Australia and Finland). This conclusion is reached by comparing, first, the economic performance of targeting countries in the 1980s and the 1990s; and second, the economic performance in the 1990s of targeting and non-targeting countries (the USA, Japan, Switzerland, Germany. France and the Netherlands). We focus on two possible explanations for the performance of the inflation-targeting regime: the relatively high degree of monetary policy transparency, and the presence of a flexible institutional framework.
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收藏
页码:528 / 545
页数:18
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