Incoherence Correction and Decision Making Based on Generalized Credal Sets

被引:10
作者
Bronevich, Andrey G. [1 ,2 ]
Rozenberg, Igor N. [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Natl Res Univ, Higher Sch Econ, Myasnitskaya 20, Moscow 101000, Russia
[2] JSC Res Dev & Planning Inst Railway Informat Tech, Orlikov Per 5,Bldg 1, Moscow 107996, Russia
来源
SYMBOLIC AND QUANTITATIVE APPROACHES TO REASONING WITH UNCERTAINTY, ECSQARU 2017 | 2017年 / 10369卷
关键词
Contradictory (incoherent) lower previsions; Decision making; Generalized credal sets; Incoherence correction;
D O I
10.1007/978-3-319-61581-3_25
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
While making decisions we meet different types of uncertainty. Recently the concept of generalized credal set has been proposed for modeling conflict, imprecision and contradiction in information. This concept allows us to generalize the theory of imprecise probabilities giving us possibilities to process information presented by contradictory (incoherent) lower previsions. In this paper we propose a new way of introducing generalized credal sets: we show that any contradictory lower prevision can be represented as a convex sum of non-contradictory and fully contradictory lower previsions. In this way we can introduce generalized credal sets and apply them to decision problems. Decision making is based on decision rules in the theory of imprecise probabilities and the contradiction-imprecision transformation that looks like incoherence correction.
引用
收藏
页码:271 / 281
页数:11
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