Risk Factors for Severe Disease and Efficacy of Treatment in Patients Infected With COVID-19: A Systematic Review, Meta-Analysis, and Meta-Regression Analysis

被引:207
作者
Zhang, John J. Y. [1 ]
Lee, Keng Siang [2 ]
Ang, Li Wei [3 ,4 ]
Leo, Yee Sin [1 ,4 ,5 ,6 ,7 ]
Young, Barnaby Edward [4 ,5 ,6 ]
机构
[1] Natl Univ Singapore, Yong Loo Lin Sch Med, 1 Kent Ridge Rd, Singapore 119228, Singapore
[2] Univ Bristol, Fac Hlth Sci, Bristol Med Sch, Bristol, Avon, England
[3] Minist Hlth, Epidemiol & Dis Control Div, Singapore, Singapore
[4] Natl Ctr Infect Dis, Singapore, Singapore
[5] Tan Tock Seng Hosp, Singapore, Singapore
[6] Nanyang Technol Univ, Lee Kong Chian Sch Med, Singapore, Singapore
[7] Natl Univ Singapore, Saw Swee Hock Sch Publ Hlth, Singapore, Singapore
基金
英国医学研究理事会;
关键词
coronavirus; COVID-19; severe; risk factor; treatment; SARS;
D O I
10.1093/cid/ciaa576
中图分类号
R392 [医学免疫学]; Q939.91 [免疫学];
学科分类号
100102 ;
摘要
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic spread globally in the beginning of 2020. At present, predictors of severe disease and the efficacy of different treatments are not well understood. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of all published studies up to 15 March 2020, which reported COVID-19 clinical features and/or treatment outcomes. Forty-five studies reporting 4203 patients were included. Pooled rates of intensive care unit (ICU) admission, mortality, and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) were 10.9%, 4.3%, and 18.4%, respectively. On meta-regression, ICU admission was predicted by increased leukocyte count (P<.0001), alanine aminotransferase (P=.024), and aspartate transaminase (P=.0040); elevated lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (P<.0001); and increased procalcitonin (P<.0001). ARDS was predicted by elevated LDH (P<.0001), while mortality was predicted by increased leukocyte count (P=.0005) and elevated LDH (P<.0001). Treatment with lopinavir-ritonavir showed no significant benefit in mortality and ARDS rates. Corticosteroids were associated with a higher rate of ARDS (P=.0003).
引用
收藏
页码:2199 / 2206
页数:8
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