Short-term natural gas consumption forecasting from long-term data collection

被引:24
|
作者
Svoboda, Radek [1 ]
Kotik, Vojtech [1 ]
Platos, Jan [1 ]
机构
[1] VSB Tech Univ Ostrava, Fac Elect Engn & Comp Sci, Dept Comp Sci, Ostrava, Czech Republic
关键词
Natural gas; Consumption; Forecasting; Demand; Big data; Machine learning; TIME-SERIES; MODEL; BUILDINGS; DEMAND;
D O I
10.1016/j.energy.2020.119430
中图分类号
O414.1 [热力学];
学科分类号
摘要
The development of natural gas consumption forecasting tools is an important application of forecasting models. Plenty of research efforts have already been made in this area. However, the datasets used in these works could often not be published and used by other researchers. This complicates further research and the comparison of forecasting methods. In this work, we address this issue by the creation of a new dataset. We have taken into account state-of-the-art research works and included many data features that were previously proven to have a significant impact on the precision of the model. A forecasting methodology suitable for the evaluation of statistical and machine learning algorithms used in the time series forecasting domain is proposed to validate the high usability of the new dataset. The results of the application of the methodology and their discussion are included. Moreover, we made this dataset available for everyone to use for their research purposes. (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页数:15
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic
    Doornik, Jurgen A.
    Castle, Jennifer L.
    Hendry, David F.
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 2022, 38 (02) : 453 - 466
  • [32] Analysing and forecasting the energy consumption of healthcare facilities in the short and medium term. A case study
    Koc, Ali
    Seckiner, Serap Ulusam
    OPERATIONS RESEARCH AND DECISIONS, 2024, 34 (03) : 165 - 192
  • [33] Short-term forecasting of hourly water consumption by using automatic metering readers data
    Candelieri, Antonio
    Soldi, Davide
    Archetti, Francesco
    COMPUTING AND CONTROL FOR THE WATER INDUSTRY (CCWI2015): SHARING THE BEST PRACTICE IN WATER MANAGEMENT, 2015, 119 : 844 - 853
  • [34] Short-Term Forecasting of Total Energy Consumption for India-A Black Box Based Approach
    Rahman, Habeebur
    Selvarasan, Iniyan
    Begum, Jahitha A.
    ENERGIES, 2018, 11 (12)
  • [35] Stacking Ensemble Learning for Short-Term Electricity Consumption Forecasting
    Divina, Federico
    Gilson, Aude
    Gomez-Vela, Francisco
    Torres, Miguel Garcia
    Torres, Jose E.
    ENERGIES, 2018, 11 (04)
  • [36] COMPARISON OF SHORT-TERM FORECASTING METHODS OF ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION IN MICROGRIDS
    Parfenenko, Yu. V.
    Shendryk, V. V.
    Kholiavka, Ye. P.
    Pavlenko, P. M.
    RADIO ELECTRONICS COMPUTER SCIENCE CONTROL, 2023, (01) : 14 - 23
  • [37] Short-term wind speed forecasting by spectral analysis from long-term observations with missing values
    Akcay, Huseyin
    Filik, Tansu
    APPLIED ENERGY, 2017, 191 : 653 - 662
  • [38] A short-term water demand forecasting model using multivariate long short-term memory with meteorological data
    Zanfei, Ariele
    Brentan, Bruno Melo
    Menapace, Andrea
    Righetti, Maurizio
    JOURNAL OF HYDROINFORMATICS, 2022, 24 (05) : 1053 - 1065
  • [39] Forecasting stock return volatility: A comparison between the roles of short-term and long-term leverage effects
    Pan, Zhiyuan
    Liu, Li
    PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2018, 492 : 168 - 180
  • [40] Machine Learning Short-Term Energy Consumption Forecasting for Microgrids in a Manufacturing Plant
    Slowik, Maciej
    Urban, Wieslaw
    ENERGIES, 2022, 15 (09)